METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 313: Pereira vs. Ankalaev
Las Vegas, USA
8 Mar 2025
Welterweight
VS
41%
Morono
59%
Leal
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 4:16
★ Official Result
Carlos LealwinsKO/TKOR1 · 4:16
def. Alex Morono · UFC 313: Pereira vs. Ankalaev
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Leal
→
Actual result
Leal wins
KO/TKO · R1
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Morono at 41% vs Leal at 59% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 16 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Risk flags
Morono's chin rating of 20 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
MoronoLeal
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Morono
Leal
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'11"
Height
5'11"
72"
Reach
+74"
36
Age
+32
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Morono
Leal
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
35.0
50.9
43.3
Performance Avg
45.5
35
Quality of Victory
43
20
Momentum Score
60
Morono
Leal
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.7
/ 10
6.0
/ 10
3.9
Style: Pressure
5.0
6.7
Style: Volume
5.0
2 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
1 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
32
Head
49
4
Body
28
4
Leg
2
RangeRange
35Distance54
5Clinch25
0Ground0
Morono
Leal
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.9
/ 10
1.2
/ 10
2.0
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.8
1.5
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
2
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Morono
Leal
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
20
76
KO risk
Verdict
Moderate
3
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.7 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
24/37 fights
Chin rating based on
4/30 fights
Morono
Leal
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
20
60
4-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
Morono
Leal
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
31%
50%
2
KO / TKO Wins
1
2
Submission Wins
0
9
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Morono
Leal
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.7
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
6.0
2.9
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.2
2.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.8
1.5
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
3.9
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.0
6.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.0
MoronoLeal
Strike Zones
Morono
Attacking
40 landedAbsorbing
79 absorbedLeal
Attacking
79 landedAbsorbing
40 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Morono targets the head (80% of attacks) — Leal absorbs 80% of strikes there
🎯Leal targets the head (62% of attacks) — Morono absorbs 62% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Morono
RND
Leal
0/0R00/0
Morono · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Daniil DonchenkoDecision
UFC Fight Night: Bautista vs. Oliveira · 2026-02
L · KO · R1
Carlos LealKO/TKO
UFC 313: Pereira vs. Ankalaev · 2025-03
L · Dec · R3
Daniel RodriguezDecision
UFC Fight Night: Royval vs. Taira · 2024-10
L · Dec · R3
Niko PriceDecision
UFC 302: Makhachev vs. Poirier · 2024-06
W · Dec · R3
Court McGeeDecision
UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Curtis 2 · 2024-04
Leal · Last 4
W · Dec · R3
Chidi NjokuaniDecision
UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Hernandez · 2026-02
L · KO · R1
Muslim SalikhovKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. De Ridder · 2025-07
W · KO · R1
Alex MoronoKO/TKO
UFC 313: Pereira vs. Ankalaev · 2025-03
L · Dec · R3
Rinat FakhretdinovDecision
UFC 308: Topuria vs. Holloway · 2024-10