UFC Fight Night: Boetsch vs Henderson
New Orleans, USA
6 Jun 2015
Bantamweight
VS
46%
Soto
54%
Birchak
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 1:37
JS
Joe Soto
"One Bad Mofo"
18 – 7
5'6"65" reachOrthodox39 yrs2-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 13
AB
Anthony Birchak
"El Toro"
16 – 8
Well-Rounded2-fight slide40 yrsOrthodox69" reach5'8"
CFR 15

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Birchak

This is a genuine toss-up — Soto at 46% vs Birchak at 54% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Striking split: Birchak throws more volume but Soto connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.

Risk flags

Soto's chin rating of 20 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Birchak has a chin rating of 32 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Soto
Birchak
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'6"
Height
+5'8"
65"
Reach
+69"
39+
Age
40
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Soto
Birchak
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
12.7
14.8
39.8
Performance Avg
38.8
41
Quality of Victory
43
20
Momentum Score
53
Soto
Birchak
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.2
2.5
53%
Strike Accuracy
34%
0.8
Striking Style Score (/10)
5.7
0 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
1
Head
11
0
Body
2
0
Leg
3
RangeRange
1Distance5
0Clinch9
0Ground2
Soto
Birchak
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
6.1
/ 10
1.2
/ 10
4.3
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.8
6.7
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
2
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Soto
Birchak
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
20
32
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
KO risk
3
KO/TKO Losses
2
1
Sub Losses
2
Avg R2.3 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.5 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
8/25 fights
Chin rating based on
6/24 fights
Soto
Birchak
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
20
53
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R1
L · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R1
W · Sub · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R2
L · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
Soto
Birchak
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
67%
50%
0
KO / TKO Wins
1
2
Submission Wins
0
1
Decision Wins
1

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Soto
Birchak
Striking0.8 / 5.7Volume3.4 / 4.7Grappling6.1 / 1.2Wrestling4.3 / 0.8Submission6.7 / 0.0Pressure5.8 / 4.5
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.8
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
5.7
6.1
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.2
4.3
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.8
6.7
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
5.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.5
3.4
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.7
Soto
Strike Zones
Birchak
Soto
Attacking
1HEAD0BODY0LEGS1 landed
Absorbing
11HEAD2BODY3LEGS16 absorbed
Birchak
Attacking
11HEAD2BODY3LEGS16 landed
Absorbing
1HEAD0BODY0LEGS1 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Soto targets the head (100% of attacks) — Birchak absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Birchak targets the head (69% of attacks) — Soto absorbs 69% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Soto
RND
Birchak
0/0R00/0
0/0R20/0

Soto · QOF Timeline

Avg: 3.7
0104.1L1.5L5.5L5.5W5.0W4.9W1.5L1.5L2014-082016-012016-112017-122018-02
WinLossTrend

Birchak · QOF Timeline

Avg: 2.8
0101.5L5.0W1.5L4.5W1.5L2.8L2014-122015-062015-112016-072020-112021-04
WinLossTrend

Soto · Last 5

L · KO · R1
Iuri AlcantaraRating 1.5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Machida vs. Anders · 2018-02
L · Sub · R1
Brett JohnsRating 1.5
Submission
The Ultimate Fighter: A New World Champion Finale · 2017-12
W · Dec · R3
Rani YahyaRating 4.9
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Belfort vs. Gastelum · 2017-03
W · Sub · R1
Marco BeltranRating 5
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. Ferguson · 2016-11
W · Sub · R3
Chris BealRating 5.5
Submission
UFC Fight Night: MacDonald vs Thompson · 2016-06

Birchak · Last 5

L · KO · R2
Tony GravelyRating 2.8
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. Gastelum · 2021-04
L · Sub · R1
Gustavo LopezRating 1.5
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Teixeira · 2020-11
W · Dec · R3
Dileno LopesRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. Alvarez · 2016-07
L · KO · R1
Thomas AlmeidaRating 1.5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Belfort vs Henderson 3 · 2015-11
W · KO · R1
Joe SotoRating 5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Boetsch vs Henderson · 2015-06

News & Media

Joe Soto · Anthony Birchak
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