UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Dillashaw
Las Vegas, USA
24 Jul 2021
Bantamweight
VS
75%
Arce
25%
Ewell
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 2 · 3:45
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Arce
Arce is a strong favourite at 75% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 33 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Arce has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 18 points.
Striking split: Arce throws more volume but Ewell connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Ewell has a chin rating of 40 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Arce
Ewell
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'7"
Height
+5'8"
70"
Reach
+75"
36+
Age
38
Southpaw
Stance
Southpaw
Arce
Ewell
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
49.4
16.9
49.5
Performance Avg
32.8
43
Quality of Victory
25
65
Momentum Score
35
Arce
Ewell
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.7
1.6
36%
Strike Accuracy
40%
6.2
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.9
3 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
15
Head
5
5
Body
6
4
Leg
7
RangeRange
24Distance18
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Arce
Ewell
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
2.1
/ 10
2.4
/ 10
1.5
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.7
1.7
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
1
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Arce
Ewell
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
72
40
Moderate
Verdict
KO risk
1
KO/TKO Losses
2
0
Sub Losses
1
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.5 stoppage
3 fights ago
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
10/25 fights
Chin rating based on
9/26 fights
Arce
Ewell
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
65
35
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
W · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
W · KO · R2
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Arce
Ewell
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
67%
0%
3
KO / TKO Wins
0
1
Submission Wins
0
2
Decision Wins
4
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Arce
Ewell
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
6.2
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.9
2.1
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
1.5
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
1.7
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
6.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
1.3
3.9
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
8.9
ArceEwell
Strike Zones
Arce
Attacking
24 landedAbsorbing
18 absorbedEwell
Attacking
18 landedAbsorbing
24 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Arce targets the head (63% of attacks) — Ewell absorbs 63% of strikes there
🎯Ewell targets the legs (39% of attacks) — Arce absorbs 39% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Arce
RND
Ewell
0/0R00/0
Arce · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.4WinLossTrend
Ewell · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.9WinLossTrend
Arce · Last 5
W · KO · R2
Herbert BurnsRating 5.6KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Blanchfield vs. Fiorot · 2024-03
L · Dec · R3
Montel JacksonRating 6.4Decision
UFC 281: Adesanya vs. Pereira · 2022-11
W · Dec · R3
Daniel SantosRating 5.5Decision
UFC 273: Volkanovski vs. The Korean Zombie · 2022-04
L · KO · R2
Song YadongRating 4.1KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. Rodriguez · 2021-11
W · KO · R2
Andre EwellRating 5.2KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Dillashaw · 2021-07
Ewell · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Charles JourdainRating 6.3Decision
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Daukaus · 2021-12
L · KO · R2
Julio ArceRating 3.5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Dillashaw · 2021-07
L · Dec · R3
Chris GutierrezRating 6Decision
UFC 258: Usman vs. Burns · 2021-02
W · Dec · R3
Irwin RiveraRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Covington vs. Woodley · 2020-09
W · Dec · R3
Jonathan MartinezRating 5Decision
UFC 247: Jones vs. Reyes · 2020-02