UFC Fight Night: Holm vs. Bueno Silva
Las Vegas, USA
15 Jul 2023
Women's Bantamweight
VS
32%
Evans-Smith
68%
Perez
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Perez
Perez holds a meaningful edge at 68% per the CFR ratings — but Evans-Smith has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 29 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Striking split: Evans-Smith throws more volume but Perez connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Evans-Smith's chin rating of 68 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Evans-Smith
Perez
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'8"+
Height
5'5"
67"+
Reach
66"
38
Age
+31
Orthodox
Stance
Switch
Evans-Smith
Perez
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
26.0
54.8
33.3
Performance Avg
52.2
33
Quality of Victory
30
26
Momentum Score
75
Evans-Smith
Perez
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.4
1.1
33%
Strike Accuracy
55%
4.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
1.7
1 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
1
Head
9
0
Body
2
2
Leg
2
RangeRange
2Distance0
1Clinch8
0Ground5
Evans-Smith
Perez
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
1.6
/ 10
3.3
/ 10
1.1
Wrestling Style (/10)
2.3
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
1.7
0
Submission wins
1
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Evans-Smith
Perez
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
68
88
Never stopped
Verdict
Never stopped
0
KO/TKO Losses
0
2
Sub Losses
1
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
9/12 fights
Chin rating based on
7/15 fights
Evans-Smith
Perez
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
26
75
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
6-fight 🔥 win streak
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
Last 5
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Evans-Smith
Perez
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
33%
17%
1
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
1
2
Decision Wins
5
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Evans-Smith
Perez
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
1.7
1.6
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.3
1.1
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.3
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
1.7
3.3
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.7
6.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
8.4
Evans-SmithPerez
Strike Zones
Evans-Smith
Attacking
3 landedAbsorbing
13 absorbedPerez
Attacking
13 landedAbsorbing
3 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Evans-Smith targets the legs (67% of attacks) — Perez absorbs 67% of strikes there
🎯Perez targets the head (69% of attacks) — Evans-Smith absorbs 69% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Evans-Smith
RND
Perez
0/0R00/0
Evans-Smith · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.7WinLossTrend
Perez · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.0WinLossTrend
Evans-Smith · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Ailin PerezRating 6.5Decision
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L · Dec · R3
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Perez · Last 5
W · Dec · R3
Macy ChiassonRating 5.8Decision
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