METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Spivac
Las Vegas, USA
4 Feb 2023
Heavyweight
VS
57%
Lewis
43%
Spivac
Win Probability
Submission
Round 1 · 3:05
★ Official Result
Serghei SpivacwinsSubmissionR1 · 3:05
def. Derrick Lewis · UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Spivac
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Lewis
→
Actual result
Spivac wins
Submission · R1
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Lewis at 57% vs Spivac at 43% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 15 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Risk flags
Lewis's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Spivac has a chin rating of 6 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
LewisSpivac
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Lewis
Spivac
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'3"
Height
6'3"
79"+
Reach
78"
41
Age
+31
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Lewis
Spivac
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
58.7
44.1
56.6
Performance Avg
50.5
53
Quality of Victory
47
84
Momentum Score
33
Lewis
Spivac
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
9.3
/ 10
4.5
/ 10
7.5
Style: Pressure
6.3
2.9
Style: Volume
3.8
16 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
3 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
0
Head
12
0
Body
0
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
0Distance0
0Clinch0
0Ground12
Lewis
Spivac
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
0.5
/ 10
3.5
/ 10
0.3
Wrestling Style (/10)
2.4
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
3.3
0
Submission wins
3
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Lewis
Spivac
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
6
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
KO risk
9
KO/TKO Losses
4
2
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.1 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.3 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
3 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
32/42 fights
Chin rating based on
16/24 fights
Lewis
Spivac
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
84
33
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R2
W · KO · R1
W · KO · R3
L · Dec · R5
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
W · Sub · R1
Lewis
Spivac
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
80%
67%
16
KO / TKO Wins
3
0
Submission Wins
3
4
Decision Wins
3
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Lewis
Spivac
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
9.3
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.5
0.5
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.5
0.3
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.4
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
3.3
7.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.3
2.9
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.8
LewisSpivac
Strike Zones
Lewis
Attacking
0 landedAbsorbing
12 absorbedSpivac
Attacking
12 landedAbsorbing
0 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Spivac targets the head (100% of attacks) — Lewis absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Lewis
RND
Spivac
0/0R00/0
Lewis · Last 5
L · KO · R2
Josh HokitKO/TKO
UFC Freedom 250 · 2026-06
L · KO · R2
Waldo Cortes AcostaKO/TKO
UFC 324: Gaethje vs. Pimblett · 2026-01
W · KO · R1
Tallison TeixeiraKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Teixeira · 2025-07
W · KO · R3
Rodrigo NascimentoKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Nascimento · 2024-05
L · Dec · R5
Jailton AlmeidaDecision
UFC Fight Night: Almeida vs. Lewis · 2023-11
Spivac · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Vitor PetrinoDecision
UFC Fight Night: Hernandez vs. Rodrigues · 2026-08
W · Dec · R3
Ante DelijaDecision
UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Hernandez · 2026-02
L · Dec · R3
Waldo Cortes AcostaDecision
UFC 316: Dvalishvili vs. O'Malley 2 · 2025-06
L · KO · R1
Jailton AlmeidaKO/TKO
UFC 311: Makhachev vs. Moicano · 2025-01
W · Sub · R1
Marcin TyburaSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Tybura vs. Spivac 2 · 2024-08