UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Duncan
Las Vegas, USA
4 Apr 2026
Women's Flyweight
VS
48%
Barbosa
52%
Gatto
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Gatto
This is a genuine toss-up — Barbosa at 48% vs Gatto at 52% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Striking split: Gatto throws more volume but Barbosa connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Barbosa
Gatto
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'6"+
Height
5'5"
66"
Reach
+69"
34
Age
+30
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Barbosa
Gatto
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
49.0
53.2
44.8
Performance Avg
45.5
35
Quality of Victory
43
55
Momentum Score
59
Barbosa
Gatto
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.1
1.4
48%
Strike Accuracy
48%
1.2
Striking Style Score (/10)
7.7
0 KOs
KO Finishes
2 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
1
Head
5
4
Body
1
0
Leg
1
RangeRange
0Distance6
0Clinch0
5Ground1
Barbosa
Gatto
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.5
Sub Attempts / fight
0.6
4.3
Grappling Style Score (/10)
0.0
3.0
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.0
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Barbosa
Gatto
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
96
94
Never stopped
Verdict
Never stopped
0
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
0
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
5/13 fights
Chin rating based on
6/12 fights
Barbosa
Gatto
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
55
59
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R3
Barbosa
Gatto
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
33%
67%
0
KO / TKO Wins
2
1
Submission Wins
0
2
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Barbosa
Gatto
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
1.2
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
7.7
4.3
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
3.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
3.3
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
4.1
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.2
6.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
1.0
BarbosaGatto
Strike Zones
Barbosa
Attacking
5 landedAbsorbing
7 absorbedGatto
Attacking
7 landedAbsorbing
5 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Barbosa targets the body (80% of attacks) — Gatto absorbs 80% of strikes there
🎯Gatto targets the head (71% of attacks) — Barbosa absorbs 71% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Barbosa
RND
Gatto
0/0R00/0
Barbosa · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.6WinLossTrend
Gatto · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.6WinLossTrend
Barbosa · Last 5
W · Dec · R3
Melissa GattoRating 5.4Decision
UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Duncan · 2026-04
L · Dec · R3
Karine SilvaRating 6.7Decision
UFC 319: Du Plessis vs. Chimaev · 2025-08
W · Sub · R1
Diana BelbitaRating 5Submission
UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Murphy · 2025-04
L · Dec · R3
Miranda MaverickRating 6.3Decision
UFC Fight Night: Lemos vs. Jandiroba · 2024-07
W · Dec · R3
Ernesta KareckaiteRating 4.5Decision
UFC 301: Pantoja vs. Erceg · 2024-05
Gatto · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Dione BarbosaRating 6.2Decision
UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Duncan · 2026-04
W · KO · R3
Tamires VidalRating 6KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Murphy · 2024-05
L · Dec · R3
Ariane da SilvaRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Magomedov · 2023-07
L · Dec · R3
Tracy CortezRating 6.2Decision
UFC 274: Oliveira vs. Gaethje · 2022-05
W · KO · R3
Sijara EubanksRating 5.5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Daukaus · 2021-12

