METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. Alvarez
Las Vegas, USA
7 Jul 2016
Welterweight
VS
79%
Luque
21%
Mendoza
Win Probability
Submission
Round 2 · 3:52
★ Official Result
Vicente LuquewinsSubmissionR2 · 3:52
def. Alvaro Herrera Mendoza · UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. Alvarez
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Luque
→
Actual result
Luque wins
Submission · R2
Pre-fight analysis
Luque is a strong favourite at 79% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 44 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Mendoza has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 10 points.
Risk flags
Luque's chin rating of 32 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Mendoza has a chin rating of 54 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
LuqueMendoza
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Luque
Mendoza
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'11"
Height
+6'0"
75"+
Reach
74"
34+
Age
36
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Luque
Mendoza
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
59.9
16.4
56.1
Performance Avg
46.0
50
Quality of Victory
60
79
Momentum Score
22
Luque
Mendoza
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
5.4
/ 10
10.0
/ 10
7.7
Style: Pressure
7.8
2.3
Style: Volume
0.5
7 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
1 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
7
Head
2
1
Body
1
1
Leg
0
RangeRange
3Distance1
1Clinch2
5Ground0
Luque
Mendoza
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
3.6
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
2.5
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.0
4.1
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
7
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Luque
Mendoza
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
32
54
KO risk
Verdict
KO risk
2
KO/TKO Losses
1
1
Sub Losses
2
Avg R2.5 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
5 fights ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
26/36 fights
Chin rating based on
4/15 fights
Luque
Mendoza
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
79
22
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R2
W · Sub · R1
Last 5
L · KO · R1
L · Sub · R1
L · Sub · R2
W · KO · R1
Luque
Mendoza
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
82%
100%
7
KO / TKO Wins
1
7
Submission Wins
0
3
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Luque
Mendoza
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.4
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
10.0
3.6
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
2.5
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
4.1
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
7.7
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.8
2.3
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.5
LuqueMendoza
Strike Zones
Luque
Attacking
9 landedAbsorbing
3 absorbedMendoza
Attacking
3 landedAbsorbing
9 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Luque targets the head (78% of attacks) — Mendoza absorbs 78% of strikes there
🎯Mendoza targets the head (67% of attacks) — Luque absorbs 67% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Luque
RND
Mendoza
0/0R00/0
Luque · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Tresean GoreDecision
UFC 330: Makhachev vs. Machado Garry · 2026-08
W · Sub · R1
Kelvin GastelumSubmission
UFC 327: Prochazka vs. Ulberg · 2026-04
L · Dec · R3
Joel AlvarezDecision
UFC Fight Night: Oliveira vs. Gamrot · 2025-10
L · Sub · R2
Kevin HollandSubmission
UFC 316: Dvalishvili vs. O'Malley 2 · 2025-06
W · Sub · R1
Themba GorimboSubmission
UFC 310: Pantoja vs. Asakura · 2024-12
Mendoza · Last 4
L · KO · R1
Devin PowellKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Alvarez vs. Poirier 2 · 2018-07
L · Sub · R1
Jordan RinaldiSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Pettis vs. Moreno · 2017-08
L · Sub · R2
Vicente LuqueSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. Alvarez · 2016-07
W · KO · R1
Vernon Ramos HoKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Magny vs Gastelum · 2015-11