METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Blachowicz vs. Santos
Prague, Czech Republic
23 Feb 2019
Light Heavyweight
VS
58%
Blachowicz
42%
Santos
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 3 · 0:39
★ Official Result
Thiago SantoswinsKO/TKOR3 · 0:39
def. Jan Blachowicz · UFC Fight Night: Blachowicz vs. Santos
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Blachowicz
→
Actual result
Santos wins
KO/TKO · R3
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Blachowicz at 58% vs Santos at 42% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 12 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Risk flags
Blachowicz's chin rating of 32 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Santos has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
BlachowiczSantos
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Blachowicz
Santos
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'2"
Height
6'2"
78"+
Reach
76"
43
Age
+42
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Blachowicz
Santos
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
44.0
32.2
51.8
Performance Avg
54.0
48
Quality of Victory
51
20
Momentum Score
91
Blachowicz
Santos
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
5.3
/ 10
9.0
/ 10
5.8
Style: Pressure
7.3
4.5
Style: Volume
2.9
5 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
11 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
1
Head
15
0
Body
0
0
Leg
2
RangeRange
1Distance4
0Clinch0
0Ground13
Blachowicz
Santos
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.3
/ 10
0.5
/ 10
1.6
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.4
1.7
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
2
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Blachowicz
Santos
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
32
0
KO risk
Verdict
KO risk
2
KO/TKO Losses
3
1
Sub Losses
3
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
23/40 fights
Chin rating based on
24/33 fights
Blachowicz
Santos
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
20
91
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R1
Upcoming
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Upcoming
Last 5
L · KO · R4
L · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R5
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R3
Blachowicz
Santos
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
58%
79%
5
KO / TKO Wins
11
2
Submission Wins
0
5
Decision Wins
3
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Blachowicz
Santos
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.3
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
9.0
2.3
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.5
1.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.4
1.7
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
5.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.3
4.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
2.9
BlachowiczSantos
Strike Zones
Blachowicz
Attacking
1 landedAbsorbing
17 absorbedSantos
Attacking
17 landedAbsorbing
1 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Blachowicz targets the head (100% of attacks) — Santos absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Santos targets the head (88% of attacks) — Blachowicz absorbs 88% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Blachowicz
RND
Santos
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Blachowicz · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Navajo StirlingKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Medic vs. Rodriguez · 2026-08
Upcoming
Bogdan GuskovDecision
UFC 323: Dvalishvili vs. Yan 2 · 2025-12
L · Dec · R3
Carlos UlbergDecision
UFC Fight Night: Edwards vs. Brady · 2025-03
L · Dec · R3
Alex PereiraDecision
UFC 291: Poirier vs. Gaethje 2 · 2023-07
Upcoming
Magomed AnkalaevDecision
UFC 282: Blachowicz vs. Ankalaev · 2022-12
Santos · Last 5
L · KO · R4
Jamahal HillKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Hill · 2022-08
L · Dec · R5
Magomed AnkalaevDecision
UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Ankalaev · 2022-03
W · Dec · R5
Johnny WalkerDecision
UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Walker · 2021-10
L · Dec · R3
Aleksandar RakicDecision
UFC 259: Blachowicz vs. Adesanya · 2021-03
L · Sub · R3
Glover TeixeiraSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Teixeira · 2020-11