UFC Fight Night: Blachowicz vs. Santos
Prague, Czech Republic
23 Feb 2019
Light Heavyweight
VS
59%
Blachowicz
41%
Santos
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 3 · 0:39
Jan
Jan Blachowicz
29 – 11
6'2"78" reachOrthodox43 yrs2-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 46
TS
Thiago Santos
"Marreta"
22 – 11
Knockout Artist2-fight slide42 yrsOrthodox76" reach6'2"
CFR 32

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Blachowicz

This is a genuine toss-up — Blachowicz at 59% vs Santos at 41% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 14 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Santos has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Blachowicz's chin rating of 54 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Santos has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Blachowicz
Santos
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'2"
Height
6'2"
78"+
Reach
76"
43
Age
+42
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Blachowicz
Santos
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
46.4
32.2
53.0
Performance Avg
54.0
48
Quality of Victory
51
20
Momentum Score
91
Blachowicz
Santos
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.3
1.6
51%
Strike Accuracy
51%
5.4
Striking Style Score (/10)
9.0
5 KOs
KO Finishes
11 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
1
Head
15
0
Body
0
0
Leg
2
RangeRange
1Distance4
0Clinch0
0Ground13
Blachowicz
Santos
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
2.3
Grappling Style Score (/10)
0.5
1.6
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.4
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Blachowicz
Santos
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
54
0
KO risk
Verdict
KO risk
1
KO/TKO Losses
3
1
Sub Losses
3
Avg R3.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
11 fights ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
22/40 fights
Chin rating based on
24/33 fights
Blachowicz
Santos
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
20
91
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
Upcoming
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Upcoming
W · KO · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R4
L · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R5
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R3
Blachowicz
Santos
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
58%
79%
5
KO / TKO Wins
11
2
Submission Wins
0
5
Decision Wins
3

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Blachowicz
Santos
Striking5.4 / 9.0Volume4.5 / 2.9Grappling2.3 / 0.5Wrestling1.6 / 0.4Submission1.7 / 0.0Pressure5.9 / 7.3
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.4
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
9.0
2.3
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.5
1.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.4
1.7
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
5.9
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.3
4.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
2.9
Blachowicz
Strike Zones
Santos
Blachowicz
Attacking
1HEAD0BODY0LEGS1 landed
Absorbing
15HEAD0BODY2LEGS17 absorbed
Santos
Attacking
15HEAD0BODY2LEGS17 landed
Absorbing
1HEAD0BODY0LEGS1 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Blachowicz targets the head (100% of attacks) — Santos absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Santos targets the head (88% of attacks) — Blachowicz absorbs 88% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Blachowicz
RND
Santos
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Blachowicz · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.3
0105.0W5.5L5.5L4.5W5.5L5.5L5.2W5.5W4.5W6.5W2.8L5.3W4.5W5.0W6.2W5.9W2.5L5.4W7.6L7.4L2014-102017-042019-022021-032025-03
WinLossTrend

Santos · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.8
0101.5L5.0W5.5L5.0W5.0W4.5W5.0W1.5L1.5L5.2W6.3W5.9W6.4W1.5L5.1W6.0W5.2W5.8W7.3L3.1L5.6L5.3W7.0L4.6L2013-082016-052018-022019-072022-08
WinLossTrend

Blachowicz · Last 5

Upcoming
Bogdan Guskov
Decision
UFC 323: Dvalishvili vs. Yan 2 · 2025-12
L · Dec · R3
Carlos UlbergRating 7.4
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Edwards vs. Brady · 2025-03
L · Dec · R3
Alex PereiraRating 7.6
Decision
UFC 291: Poirier vs. Gaethje 2 · 2023-07
Upcoming
Magomed Ankalaev
Decision
UFC 282: Blachowicz vs. Ankalaev · 2022-12
W · KO · R3
Aleksandar RakicRating 5.4
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Blachowicz vs. Rakic · 2022-05

Santos · Last 5

L · KO · R4
Jamahal HillRating 4.6
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Hill · 2022-08
L · Dec · R5
Magomed AnkalaevRating 7
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Ankalaev · 2022-03
W · Dec · R5
Johnny WalkerRating 5.3
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Walker · 2021-10
L · Dec · R3
Aleksandar RakicRating 5.6
Decision
UFC 259: Blachowicz vs. Adesanya · 2021-03
L · Sub · R3
Glover TeixeiraRating 3.1
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Teixeira · 2020-11

News & Media

Jan Blachowicz · Thiago Santos
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