★ Championship Bout · Women's Bantamweight
UFC 215: Nunes vs Shevchenko 2
Edmonton, Canada
9 Sept 2017
Women's Bantamweight
VS
48%
Nunes
52%
Shevchenko
Win Probability
Decision
Round 5 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Shevchenko
This is a genuine toss-up — Nunes at 48% vs Shevchenko at 52% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Nunes has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 11 points.
Striking split: Nunes throws more volume but Shevchenko connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Nunes's chin rating of 66 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Nunes
Shevchenko
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'8"+
Height
5'5"
69"+
Reach
66"
37+
Age
38
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Nunes
Shevchenko
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
58.2
62.2
75.2
Performance Avg
66.5
66
Quality of Victory
55
100
Momentum Score
53
Nunes
Shevchenko
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.4
1.0
54%
Strike Accuracy
58%
6.2
Striking Style Score (/10)
4.3
7 KOs
KO Finishes
4 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
2
Head
7
0
Body
1
2
Leg
6
RangeRange
3Distance9
1Clinch1
0Ground4
Nunes
Shevchenko
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
2.4
/ 10
2.5
/ 10
1.7
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.8
1.9
Submission Style (/10)
1.3
3
Submission wins
2
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Nunes
Shevchenko
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
66
84
Moderate
Verdict
Never stopped
1
KO/TKO Losses
0
1
Sub Losses
1
Avg R3.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
15 fights ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
18/28 fights
Chin rating based on
19/30 fights
Nunes
Shevchenko
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
53
2-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
3-fight 🔥 win streak
W · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R5
L · Sub · R2
W · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R5
Last 5
W · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R5
Upcoming
L · Sub · R4
Nunes
Shevchenko
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
63%
40%
7
KO / TKO Wins
4
3
Submission Wins
2
6
Decision Wins
9
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Nunes
Shevchenko
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
6.2
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.3
2.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.5
1.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.8
1.9
Submission
Submission attack frequency
1.3
7.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.3
4.8
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.5
NunesShevchenko
Strike Zones
Nunes
Attacking
4 landedAbsorbing
14 absorbedShevchenko
Attacking
14 landedAbsorbing
4 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Nunes targets the head (50% of attacks) — Shevchenko absorbs 50% of strikes there
🎯Shevchenko targets the head (50% of attacks) — Nunes absorbs 50% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Nunes
RND
Shevchenko
0/0R00/0
Nunes · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.3WinLossTrend
Shevchenko · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.5WinLossTrend
Nunes · Last 5
W · Dec · R5
Irene AldanaRating 5.3Decision
UFC 289: Nunes vs. Aldana · 2023-06
W · Dec · R5
Julianna PenaRating 6Decision
UFC 277: Pena vs. Nunes 2 · 2022-07
L · Sub · R2
Julianna PenaRating 3.7Submission
UFC 269: Oliveira vs. Poirier · 2021-12
W · Sub · R1
Megan AndersonRating 5Submission
UFC 259: Blachowicz vs. Adesanya · 2021-03
W · Dec · R5
Felicia SpencerRating 4.8Decision
UFC 250: Nunes vs. Spencer · 2020-06
Shevchenko · Last 5
W · Dec · R5
Zhang WeiliRating 6.3Decision
UFC 322: Della Maddalena vs. Makhachev · 2025-11
W · Dec · R5
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UFC 315: Muhammad vs. Della Maddalena · 2025-05
W · Dec · R5
Alexa GrassoRating 5.7Decision
UFC 306: Riyadh Season Noche UFC · 2024-09
Upcoming
Alexa GrassoDecision
UFC Fight Night: Grasso vs. Shevchenko 2 · 2023-09
L · Sub · R4
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