METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 65: Bad Intentions
Sacramento, USA
18 Nov 2006
Light Heavyweight
VS
54%
McFedries
46%
Sakara
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 4:07
★ Official Result
Drew McFedrieswinsKO/TKOR1 · 4:07
def. Alessio Sakara · UFC 65: Bad Intentions
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
McFedries
→
Actual result
McFedries wins
KO/TKO · R1
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — McFedries at 54% vs Sakara at 46% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
McFedries has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 12 points.
Risk flags
McFedries's chin rating of 30 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Sakara has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
McFedriesSakara
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
McFedries
Sakara
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'0"
Height
6'0"
72"
Reach
72"
48
Age
+45
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
McFedries
Sakara
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
20.3
17.5
53.8
Performance Avg
46.1
60
Quality of Victory
48
65
Momentum Score
76
McFedries
Sakara
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
10.0
/ 10
7.5
/ 10
8.3
Style: Pressure
6.0
0.9
Style: Volume
3.5
4 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
4 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
21
Head
28
7
Body
4
2
Leg
0
RangeRange
13Distance15
5Clinch17
12Ground0
McFedries
Sakara
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
0.0
/ 10
0.8
/ 10
0.0
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.6
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
McFedries
Sakara
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
30
0
KO risk
Verdict
KO risk
1
KO/TKO Losses
4
4
Sub Losses
2
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
5 fights ago
Last KO loss
2 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
9/19 fights
Chin rating based on
15/30 fights
McFedries
Sakara
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
65
76
Current form
4-fight 📉 slide
L · Sub · R2
W · KO · R1
L · Sub · R1
L · Sub · R1
W · KO · R1
Last 5
L · Sub · R1
L · R1
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
McFedries
Sakara
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
100%
67%
4
KO / TKO Wins
4
0
Submission Wins
0
0
Decision Wins
2
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
McFedries
Sakara
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
10.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
7.5
0.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.8
0.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.6
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
8.3
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.0
0.9
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.5
McFedriesSakara
Strike Zones
McFedries
Attacking
30 landedAbsorbing
32 absorbedSakara
Attacking
32 landedAbsorbing
30 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯McFedries targets the head (70% of attacks) — Sakara absorbs 70% of strikes there
🎯Sakara targets the head (88% of attacks) — McFedries absorbs 88% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
McFedries
RND
Sakara
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
McFedries · Last 5
L · Sub · R2
Tomasz DrwalSubmission
UFC 103: Franklin vs Belfort · 2009-09
W · KO · R1
Xavier Foupa-PokamKO/TKO
UFC 98: Evans vs Machida · 2009-05
L · Sub · R1
Thales LeitesSubmission
UFC 90: Silva vs Cote · 2008-10
L · Sub · R1
Mike MassenzioSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Diaz vs Neer · 2008-09
W · KO · R1
Marvin EastmanKO/TKO
The Ultimate Fighter: Team Rampage vs Team Forrest Finale · 2008-06
Sakara · Last 5
L · Sub · R1
Nicholas MusokeSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Machida vs Munoz · 2013-10
L · R1
Patrick CoteUFC 154: St-Pierre vs Condit · 2012-11
L · KO · R1
Brian StannKO/TKO
UFC on FUEL TV: Gustafsson vs Silva · 2012-04
L · Dec · R3
Chris WeidmanDecision
UFC Live: Sanchez vs Kampmann · 2011-03
W · KO · R1
James IrvinKO/TKO
UFC Live: Vera vs Jones · 2010-03