UFC 65: Bad Intentions
Sacramento, USA
18 Nov 2006
Light Heavyweight
VS
54%
McFedries
46%
Sakara
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 4:07
DM
Drew McFedries
"The Massacre"
12 – 7
6'0"72" reachSouthpaw47 yrsKnockout Artist
CFR 20
AS
Alessio Sakara
"Legionarius"
19 – 11
Striker4-fight slide44 yrsOrthodox72" reach6'0"
CFR 18

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: McFedries

This is a genuine toss-up — McFedries at 54% vs Sakara at 46% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

McFedries has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 12 points.

McFedries has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

McFedries's chin rating of 30 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Sakara has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.

McFedries
Sakara
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'0"
Height
6'0"
72"
Reach
72"
47
Age
+44
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
McFedries
Sakara
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
20.3
17.5
53.8
Performance Avg
46.1
60
Quality of Victory
48
65
Momentum Score
76
McFedries
Sakara
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
3.3
2.0
55%
Strike Accuracy
49%
10.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
7.5
4 KOs
KO Finishes
4 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
21
Head
28
7
Body
4
2
Leg
0
RangeRange
13Distance15
5Clinch17
12Ground0
McFedries
Sakara
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
0.0
/ 10
0.8
/ 10
0.0
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.6
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
McFedries
Sakara
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
30
0
KO risk
Verdict
KO risk
1
KO/TKO Losses
4
4
Sub Losses
2
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
5 fights ago
Last KO loss
2 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
9/19 fights
Chin rating based on
15/30 fights
McFedries
Sakara
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
65
76
Current form
4-fight 📉 slide
L · Sub · R2
W · KO · R1
L · Sub · R1
L · Sub · R1
W · KO · R1
Last 5
L · Sub · R1
L · R1
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
McFedries
Sakara
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
100%
67%
4
KO / TKO Wins
4
0
Submission Wins
0
0
Decision Wins
2

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

McFedries
Sakara
Striking10.0 / 7.5Volume0.9 / 3.5Grappling0.0 / 0.8Wrestling0.0 / 0.6Submission0.0 / 0.0Pressure8.3 / 6.0
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
10.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
7.5
0.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.8
0.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.6
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
8.3
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.0
0.9
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.5
McFedries
Strike Zones
Sakara
McFedries
Attacking
21HEAD7BODY2LEGS30 landed
Absorbing
28HEAD4BODY0LEGS32 absorbed
Sakara
Attacking
28HEAD4BODY0LEGS32 landed
Absorbing
21HEAD7BODY2LEGS30 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯McFedries targets the head (70% of attacks) — Sakara absorbs 70% of strikes there
🎯Sakara targets the head (88% of attacks) — McFedries absorbs 88% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

McFedries
RND
Sakara
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

McFedries · QOF Timeline

Avg: 3.2
0105.0W1.5L5.0W1.5L5.0W1.5L1.5L5.0W2.8L2006-112008-012008-102009-09
WinLossTrend

Sakara · QOF Timeline

Avg: 3.4
0104.5W1.5L1.5L5.0W1.5L5.0W1.5L5.0W4.5W5.0W6.3L1.5L4.0L1.5L2006-022007-092009-082012-112013-10
WinLossTrend

McFedries · Last 5

L · Sub · R2
Tomasz DrwalRating 2.8
Submission
UFC 103: Franklin vs Belfort · 2009-09
W · KO · R1
Xavier Foupa-PokamRating 5
KO/TKO
UFC 98: Evans vs Machida · 2009-05
L · Sub · R1
Thales LeitesRating 1.5
Submission
UFC 90: Silva vs Cote · 2008-10
L · Sub · R1
Mike MassenzioRating 1.5
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Diaz vs Neer · 2008-09
W · KO · R1
Marvin EastmanRating 5
KO/TKO
The Ultimate Fighter: Team Rampage vs Team Forrest Finale · 2008-06

Sakara · Last 5

L · Sub · R1
Nicholas MusokeRating 1.5
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Machida vs Munoz · 2013-10
L · R1
Patrick CoteRating 4
UFC 154: St-Pierre vs Condit · 2012-11
L · KO · R1
Brian StannRating 1.5
KO/TKO
UFC on FUEL TV: Gustafsson vs Silva · 2012-04
L · Dec · R3
Chris WeidmanRating 6.3
Decision
UFC Live: Sanchez vs Kampmann · 2011-03
W · KO · R1
James IrvinRating 5
KO/TKO
UFC Live: Vera vs Jones · 2010-03

News & Media

Drew McFedries · Alessio Sakara
← Back to fights