UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Abdurakhimov
Albany, USA
9 Dec 2016
Heavyweight
VS
71%
Lewis
29%
Abdurakhimov
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 4 · 3:42
Derrick
Derrick Lewis
"The Black Beast"
2913
6'3"79" reachOrthodox41 yrsKnockout Artist
CFR 59
SA
Shamil Abdurakhimov
"Abrek"
208
Well-Rounded4-fight slide44 yrsOrthodox76" reach6'3"
CFR 24

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Lewis

Lewis is a strong favourite at 71% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 35 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Lewis has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 15 points.

Lewis has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Lewis's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Abdurakhimov has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Lewis
Abdurakhimov
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'3"
Height
6'3"
79"+
Reach
76"
41+
Age
44
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Lewis
Abdurakhimov
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
59.2
24.1
57.5
Performance Avg
41.0
53
Quality of Victory
38
84
Momentum Score
15
Lewis
Abdurakhimov
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.3
1.1
56%
Strike Accuracy
46%
9.3
Striking Style Score (/10)
4.9
16 KOs
KO Finishes
2 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
25
Head
1
2
Body
0
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
1Distance0
2Clinch1
24Ground0
Lewis
Abdurakhimov
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
0.5
Grappling Style Score (/10)
1.4
0.3
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.0
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Lewis
Abdurakhimov
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
0
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
4 consec. KOs
8
KO/TKO Losses
6
2
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.1 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
Strikes absorbed / min
32/42 fights
Chin rating based on
11/28 fights
Lewis
Abdurakhimov
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
84
15
Current form
4-fight 📉 slide
Upcoming
L · KO · R2
W · KO · R1
W · KO · R3
L · Dec · R5
Last 5
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R2
W · KO · R2
Lewis
Abdurakhimov
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
80%
40%
16
KO / TKO Wins
2
0
Submission Wins
0
4
Decision Wins
3

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Lewis
Abdurakhimov
Striking9.3 / 4.9Volume2.9 / 5.7Grappling0.5 / 1.4Wrestling0.3 / 1.0Submission0.0 / 0.0Pressure7.5 / 4.2
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
9.3
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.9
0.5
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.4
0.3
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
7.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.2
2.9
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.7
Lewis
Strike Zones
Abdurakhimov
Lewis
Attacking
25HEAD2BODY0LEGS27 landed
Absorbing
1HEAD0BODY0LEGS1 absorbed
Abdurakhimov
Attacking
1HEAD0BODY0LEGS1 landed
Absorbing
25HEAD2BODY0LEGS27 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Lewis targets the head (93% of attacks) — Abdurakhimov absorbs 93% of strikes there
🎯Abdurakhimov targets the head (100% of attacks) — Lewis absorbs 100% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Lewis
RND
Abdurakhimov
0/0R00/0

Lewis · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.6
0105.0W5.0W1.5L5.2W2.8L5.5W5.0W5.0W4.5W5.4W5.1W3.4L5.9W4.9W6.8W2.1L2.1L4.5W4.5W5.1W6.1W4.5L5.3W3.2L2.7L2.0L5.6W7.3L5.6W6.2W4.3L2014-042016-072019-032022-072026-01
WinLossTrend

Abdurakhimov · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.1
0101.5L4.5W4.5W4.6L5.0W5.2W5.6W3.7L3.1L2.7L4.5L2015-042016-122019-042022-032023-01
WinLossTrend

Lewis · Last 5

Upcoming
Josh Hokit
UFC Freedom 250 · 2026-06
L · KO · R2
Waldo Cortes AcostaRating 4.3
KO/TKO
UFC 324: Gaethje vs. Pimblett · 2026-01
W · KO · R1
Tallison TeixeiraRating 6.2
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Teixeira · 2025-07
W · KO · R3
Rodrigo NascimentoRating 5.6
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Nascimento · 2024-05
L · Dec · R5
Jailton AlmeidaRating 7.3
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Almeida vs. Lewis · 2023-11

Abdurakhimov · Last 5

L · KO · R2
Jailton AlmeidaRating 4.5
KO/TKO
UFC 283: Teixeira vs. Hill · 2023-01
L · KO · R1
Sergei PavlovichRating 2.7
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Volkov vs. Aspinall · 2022-03
L · KO · R2
Chris DaukausRating 3.1
KO/TKO
UFC 266: Volkanovski vs. Ortega · 2021-09
L · KO · R2
Curtis BlaydesRating 3.7
KO/TKO
UFC 242: Khabib vs. Poirier · 2019-09
W · KO · R2
Marcin TyburaRating 5.6
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Oleinik · 2019-04

News & Media

Derrick Lewis · Shamil Abdurakhimov
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