UFC Fight Night: Makhachev vs. Green
Las Vegas, USA
26 Feb 2022
Lightweight
VS
53%
McKinney
47%
Ziam
Win Probability
Submission
Round 1 · 2:11
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: McKinney
This is a genuine toss-up — McKinney at 53% vs Ziam at 47% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 8 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
McKinney has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 26 points.
McKinney has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
McKinney's chin rating of 10 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
McKinney
Ziam
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'10"
Height
+6'1"
73"
Reach
+75"
31
Age
+29
Switch
Stance
Orthodox
McKinney
Ziam
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
65.7
58.1
59.3
Performance Avg
51.1
58
Quality of Victory
32
98
Momentum Score
91
McKinney
Ziam
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
5.1
0.7
56%
Strike Accuracy
55%
7.5
Striking Style Score (/10)
4.1
5 KOs
KO Finishes
2 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
2
Head
0
1
Body
0
0
Leg
1
RangeRange
0Distance1
0Clinch0
3Ground0
McKinney
Ziam
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.3
Sub Attempts / fight
0.4
3.0
Grappling Style Score (/10)
1.8
2.1
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.3
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
McKinney
Ziam
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
10
86
KO risk
Verdict
Never stopped
3
KO/TKO Losses
0
2
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.3 stoppage
KO round context
—
4 fights ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
13/26 fights
Chin rating based on
11/22 fights
McKinney
Ziam
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
98
91
Current form
6-fight 🔥 win streak
W · KO · R1
L · Sub · R1
W · Sub · R1
W · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
Last 5
Upcoming
W · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R3
W · Dec · R3
McKinney
Ziam
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
100%
25%
5
KO / TKO Wins
2
3
Submission Wins
0
0
Decision Wins
6
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
McKinney
Ziam
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
7.5
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.1
3.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.8
2.1
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.3
3.8
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
8.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.2
1.2
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
7.6
McKinneyZiam
Strike Zones
McKinney
Attacking
3 landedAbsorbing
1 absorbedZiam
Attacking
1 landedAbsorbing
3 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯McKinney targets the head (67% of attacks) — Ziam absorbs 67% of strikes there
🎯Ziam targets the legs (100% of attacks) — McKinney absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
McKinney
RND
Ziam
0/0R00/0
McKinney · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.4WinLossTrend
Ziam · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.1WinLossTrend
McKinney · Last 5
W · KO · R1
Kyle NelsonRating 5.1KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Adesanya vs. Pyfer · 2026-03
L · Sub · R1
Chris DuncanRating 2.8Submission
UFC 323: Dvalishvili vs. Yan 2 · 2025-12
W · Sub · R1
Viacheslav BorshchevRating 5.5Submission
UFC 317: Topuria vs. Oliveira · 2025-06
W · KO · R1
Damir HadzovicRating 5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Adesanya vs. Imavov · 2025-02
L · KO · R1
Esteban RibovicsRating 2.2KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Nascimento · 2024-05
Ziam · Last 5
Upcoming
Tom NolanUFC Fight Night: Muhammad vs. Bonfim · 2026-06
W · KO · R2
Nazim SadykhovRating 6.7KO/TKO
UFC 323: Dvalishvili vs. Yan 2 · 2025-12
W · Dec · R3
Mike DavisRating 5.6Decision
UFC Fight Night: Adesanya vs. Imavov · 2025-02
W · KO · R3
Matt FrevolaRating 5.7KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Saint Denis · 2024-09
W · Dec · R3
Claudio PuellesRating 5.4Decision
UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Royval 2 · 2024-02