UFC Fight Night: Vettori vs. Dolidze 2
Las Vegas, USA
15 Mar 2025
Bantamweight
VS
90%
Vera
10%
Musasa
Win Probability
Submission
Round 1 · 3:16
Carlos
Carlos Vera
"Pequeno"
12 – 4
5'6"69" reachOrthodox38 yrsSubmission Hunter
CFR 61
Josias
Josias Musasa
"The KO Wizard"
8 – 2
Well-Rounded2-fight slide27 yrsSouthpaw74" reach5'8"
CFR 7

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Vera

Vera is a strong favourite at 90% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 54 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Vera has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 54 points.

Striking split: Musasa throws more volume but Vera connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.

Vera
Musasa
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'6"
Height
+5'8"
69"
Reach
+74"
38
Age
+27
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Vera
Musasa
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
60.9
6.9
52.4
Performance Avg
0.0
54
Quality of Victory
0
59
Momentum Score
0
Vera
Musasa
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.1
1.5
57%
Strike Accuracy
45%
1.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.0
0 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
3
Head
3
3
Body
0
10
Leg
10
RangeRange
16Distance13
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Vera
Musasa
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
8.0
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
5.6
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.0
10.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
1
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Vera
Musasa
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
98
86
Never stopped
Verdict
Never stopped
0
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
1
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
2/16 fights
Chin rating based on
2/10 fights
Vera
Musasa
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
59
0
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
W · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
Vera
Musasa
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
100%
0%
0
KO / TKO Wins
0
1
Submission Wins
0
0
Decision Wins
0

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Vera
Musasa
Striking1.0 / 0.0Volume1.0 / 0.0Grappling8.0 / 0.0Wrestling5.6 / 0.0Submission10.0 / 0.0Pressure8.5 / 0.0
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
1.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
8.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
5.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
10.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
8.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
1.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
Vera
Strike Zones
Musasa
Vera
Attacking
3HEAD3BODY10LEGS16 landed
Absorbing
3HEAD0BODY10LEGS13 absorbed
Musasa
Attacking
3HEAD0BODY10LEGS13 landed
Absorbing
3HEAD3BODY10LEGS16 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Vera targets the legs (63% of attacks) — Musasa absorbs 63% of strikes there
🎯Musasa targets the legs (77% of attacks) — Vera absorbs 77% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Vera
RND
Musasa
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Vera · QOF Timeline

Avg: 6.1
0107.2L5.0W2024-022025-03
WinLossTrend

Musasa · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.4
0102.8L6.0L2025-032025-09
WinLossTrend

Vera · Last 2

W · Sub · R1
Josias MusasaRating 5
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Vettori vs. Dolidze 2 · 2025-03
L · Dec · R3
Rinya NakamuraRating 7.2
Decision
UFC 298: Volkanovski vs. Topuria · 2024-02

Musasa · Last 2

L · Dec · R3
Colby ThicknesseRating 6
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Ulberg vs. Reyes · 2025-09
L · Sub · R1
Carlos VeraRating 2.8
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Vettori vs. Dolidze 2 · 2025-03

News & Media

Carlos Vera · Josias Musasa
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