UFC Fight Night: Shevchenko vs. Carmouche 2
Montevideo, Uruguay
10 Aug 2019
Flyweight
VS
51%
Bontorin
49%
Paiva
Win Probability
RB
Rogerio Bontorin
16 – 4
5'5"67" reachOrthodox34 yrs3-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 21
RP
Raulian Paiva
21 – 5
Well-Rounded2-fight slide30 yrsOrthodox69" reach5'8"
CFR 20

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Bontorin

This is a genuine toss-up — Bontorin at 51% vs Paiva at 49% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Striking split: Paiva throws more volume but Bontorin connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.

Bontorin
Paiva
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'5"
Height
+5'8"
67"
Reach
+69"
34
Age
+30
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Bontorin
Paiva
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
21.1
20.1
32.5
Performance Avg
38.1
28
Quality of Victory
35
59
Momentum Score
20
Bontorin
Paiva
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.1
1.7
52%
Strike Accuracy
37%
0.8
Striking Style Score (/10)
4.2
0 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
6
Head
3
0
Body
0
2
Leg
0
RangeRange
7Distance3
1Clinch0
0Ground0
Bontorin
Paiva
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
1.2
/ 10
1.6
/ 10
0.8
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.1
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Bontorin
Paiva
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
74
72
Moderate
Verdict
Moderate
1
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
2 fights ago
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
6/20 fights
Chin rating based on
7/26 fights
Bontorin
Paiva
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
59
20
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
Upcoming
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · R1
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
Bontorin
Paiva
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
0%
33%
0
KO / TKO Wins
1
0
Submission Wins
0
2
Decision Wins
2

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Bontorin
Paiva
Striking0.8 / 4.2Volume4.8 / 6.2Grappling1.2 / 1.6Wrestling0.8 / 1.1Submission0.0 / 0.0Pressure1.2 / 3.6
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.8
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.2
1.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.6
0.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.1
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
1.2
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.6
4.8
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.2
Bontorin
Strike Zones
Paiva
Bontorin
Attacking
6HEAD0BODY2LEGS8 landed
Absorbing
3HEAD0BODY0LEGS3 absorbed
Paiva
Attacking
3HEAD0BODY0LEGS3 landed
Absorbing
6HEAD0BODY2LEGS8 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Bontorin targets the head (75% of attacks) — Paiva absorbs 75% of strikes there
🎯Paiva targets the head (100% of attacks) — Bontorin absorbs 100% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Bontorin
RND
Paiva
0/0R00/0

Bontorin · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.5
0104.5W4.0W5.5L2.4L6.3L2019-022019-082020-022021-032022-01
WinLossTrend

Paiva · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.8
0106.4L4.0L5.2W4.5W5.2W3.0L5.5L2019-022020-022021-072022-06
WinLossTrend

Bontorin · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Brandon RoyvalRating 6.3
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Chikadze · 2022-01
Upcoming
Matt Schnell
UFC 262: Oliveira vs. Chandler · 2021-05
L · KO · R1
Kai Kara-FranceRating 2.4
KO/TKO
UFC 259: Blachowicz vs. Adesanya · 2021-03
L · Dec · R3
Ray BorgRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Anderson vs. Blachowicz · 2020-02
W · R1
Raulian PaivaRating 4
UFC Fight Night: Shevchenko vs. Carmouche 2 · 2019-08

Paiva · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Sergey MorozovRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Tsarukyan vs. Gamrot · 2022-06
L · KO · R1
Sean O'MalleyRating 3
KO/TKO
UFC 269: Oliveira vs. Poirier · 2021-12
W · Dec · R3
Kyler PhillipsRating 5.2
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Dillashaw · 2021-07
W · Dec · R3
Zhalgas ZhumagulovRating 4.5
Decision
UFC 251: Usman vs. Masvidal · 2020-07
W · KO · R2
Mark De La RosaRating 5.2
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Anderson vs. Blachowicz · 2020-02

News & Media

Rogerio Bontorin · Raulian Paiva
← Back to fights