UFC 247: Jones vs. Reyes
Houston, USA
8 Feb 2020
Women's Flyweight
VS
55%
Murphy
45%
Lee
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Murphy
This is a genuine toss-up — Murphy at 55% vs Lee at 45% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 9 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Striking split: Murphy throws more volume but Lee connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Murphy's chin rating of 66 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Murphy
Lee
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'5"
Height
+5'6"
67"
Reach
+69"
42
Age
+37
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Murphy
Lee
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
51.7
43.1
41.9
Performance Avg
35.8
34
Quality of Victory
36
87
Momentum Score
53
Murphy
Lee
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.5
1.4
43%
Strike Accuracy
45%
3.6
Striking Style Score (/10)
2.7
2 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
12
Head
12
3
Body
7
0
Leg
4
RangeRange
13Distance20
2Clinch3
0Ground0
Murphy
Lee
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
2.5
Grappling Style Score (/10)
3.0
1.8
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
2.1
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Murphy
Lee
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
66
82
Moderate
Verdict
Never stopped
1
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R4.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
3 fights ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
15/23 fights
Chin rating based on
14/24 fights
Murphy
Lee
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
87
53
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
6-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R4
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Murphy
Lee
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
38%
40%
2
KO / TKO Wins
1
1
Submission Wins
1
5
Decision Wins
3
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Murphy
Lee
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.6
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
2.7
2.5
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.0
1.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.1
1.3
Submission
Submission attack frequency
2.0
4.2
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.9
6.1
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.5
MurphyLee
Strike Zones
Murphy
Attacking
15 landedAbsorbing
23 absorbedLee
Attacking
23 landedAbsorbing
15 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Murphy targets the head (80% of attacks) — Lee absorbs 80% of strikes there
🎯Lee targets the head (52% of attacks) — Murphy absorbs 52% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Murphy
RND
Lee
0/0R00/0
Murphy · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.3WinLossTrend
Lee · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.8WinLossTrend
Murphy · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Eduarda MouraRating 6.3Decision
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Lee · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
JJ AldrichRating 6.1Decision
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