METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Teixeira
Las Vegas, USA
7 Nov 2020
Bantamweight
VS
67%
Lopez
33%
Birchak
Win Probability
Submission
Round 1 · 2:43
★ Official Result
Gustavo LopezwinsSubmissionR1 · 2:43
def. Anthony Birchak · UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Teixeira
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Lopez
→
Actual result
Lopez wins
Submission · R1
Pre-fight analysis
Lopez holds a meaningful edge at 67% per the CFR ratings — but Birchak has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 15 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Lopez has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 12 points.
Striking split: Birchak throws more volume but Lopez connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Birchak has a chin rating of 32 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
LopezBirchak
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Lopez
Birchak
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'5"
Height
+5'8"
67"
Reach
+69"
37+
Age
40
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Lopez
Birchak
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
29.7
14.8
45.7
Performance Avg
38.8
54
Quality of Victory
43
52
Momentum Score
53
Lopez
Birchak
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.2
2.5
46%
Strike Accuracy
34%
0.7
Striking Style Score (/10)
5.7
0 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
17
Head
8
9
Body
5
0
Leg
4
RangeRange
15Distance12
5Clinch3
6Ground2
Lopez
Birchak
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
8.0
/ 10
1.2
/ 10
5.6
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.8
10.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
1
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Lopez
Birchak
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
76
32
Moderate
Verdict
KO risk
1
KO/TKO Losses
2
0
Sub Losses
2
Avg R3.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.5 stoppage
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
4/18 fights
Chin rating based on
6/24 fights
Lopez
Birchak
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
52
53
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
Upcoming
L · KO · R3
W · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R2
L · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
Lopez
Birchak
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
100%
50%
0
KO / TKO Wins
1
1
Submission Wins
0
0
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Lopez
Birchak
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.7
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
5.7
8.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.2
5.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.8
10.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
8.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.5
0.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.7
LopezBirchak
Strike Zones
Lopez
Attacking
26 landedAbsorbing
17 absorbedBirchak
Attacking
17 landedAbsorbing
26 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Lopez targets the head (65% of attacks) — Birchak absorbs 65% of strikes there
🎯Birchak targets the head (47% of attacks) — Lopez absorbs 47% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Lopez
RND
Birchak
0/0R00/0
Lopez · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.7WinLossTrend
Birchak · QOF Timeline
Avg: 2.8WinLossTrend
Lopez · Last 4
Upcoming
AlatengheiliDecision
UFC Fight Night: Smith vs. Spann · 2021-09
L · KO · R3
Adrian YanezRating 5.4KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Brunson vs. Holland · 2021-03
W · Sub · R1
Anthony BirchakRating 5Submission
UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Teixeira · 2020-11
L · Dec · R3
Merab DvalishviliRating 6.8Decision
UFC Fight Night: Eye vs. Calvillo · 2020-06
Birchak · Last 5
L · KO · R2
Tony GravelyRating 2.8KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. Gastelum · 2021-04
L · Sub · R1
Gustavo LopezRating 1.5Submission
UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Teixeira · 2020-11
W · Dec · R3
Dileno LopesRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. Alvarez · 2016-07
L · KO · R1
Thomas AlmeidaRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Belfort vs Henderson 3 · 2015-11
W · KO · R1
Joe SotoRating 5KO/TKO
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