UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Teixeira
Las Vegas, USA
7 Nov 2020
Bantamweight
VS
67%
Lopez
33%
Birchak
Win Probability
Submission
Round 1 · 2:43
GL
Gustavo Lopez
12 – 6
5'5"67" reachOrthodox36 yrsSubmission Hunter
CFR 30
AB
Anthony Birchak
"El Toro"
16 – 8
Well-Rounded2-fight slide40 yrsOrthodox69" reach5'8"
CFR 15

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Lopez

Lopez holds a meaningful edge at 67% per the CFR ratings — but Birchak has real paths to victory.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 15 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Lopez has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 12 points.

Striking split: Birchak throws more volume but Lopez connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.

Risk flags

Birchak has a chin rating of 32 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Lopez
Birchak
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'5"
Height
+5'8"
67"
Reach
+69"
36+
Age
40
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Lopez
Birchak
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
29.7
14.8
45.7
Performance Avg
38.8
54
Quality of Victory
43
52
Momentum Score
53
Lopez
Birchak
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.2
2.5
46%
Strike Accuracy
34%
0.7
Striking Style Score (/10)
5.7
0 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
17
Head
8
9
Body
5
0
Leg
4
RangeRange
15Distance12
5Clinch3
6Ground2
Lopez
Birchak
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
8.0
/ 10
1.2
/ 10
5.6
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.8
10.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
1
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Lopez
Birchak
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
76
32
Moderate
Verdict
KO risk
1
KO/TKO Losses
2
0
Sub Losses
2
Avg R3.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.5 stoppage
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
4/18 fights
Chin rating based on
6/24 fights
Lopez
Birchak
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
52
53
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
Upcoming
L · KO · R3
W · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R2
L · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
Lopez
Birchak
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
100%
50%
0
KO / TKO Wins
1
1
Submission Wins
0
0
Decision Wins
1

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Lopez
Birchak
Striking0.7 / 5.7Volume0.7 / 4.7Grappling8.0 / 1.2Wrestling5.6 / 0.8Submission10.0 / 0.0Pressure8.0 / 4.5
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.7
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
5.7
8.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.2
5.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.8
10.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
8.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.5
0.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.7
Lopez
Strike Zones
Birchak
Lopez
Attacking
17HEAD9BODY0LEGS26 landed
Absorbing
8HEAD5BODY4LEGS17 absorbed
Birchak
Attacking
8HEAD5BODY4LEGS17 landed
Absorbing
17HEAD9BODY0LEGS26 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Lopez targets the head (65% of attacks) — Birchak absorbs 65% of strikes there
🎯Birchak targets the head (47% of attacks) — Lopez absorbs 47% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Lopez
RND
Birchak
0/0R00/0

Lopez · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.7
0106.8L5.0W5.4L2020-062020-112021-03
WinLossTrend

Birchak · QOF Timeline

Avg: 2.8
0101.5L5.0W1.5L4.5W1.5L2.8L2014-122015-062015-112016-072020-112021-04
WinLossTrend

Lopez · Last 4

Upcoming
Alatengheili
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Smith vs. Spann · 2021-09
L · KO · R3
Adrian YanezRating 5.4
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Brunson vs. Holland · 2021-03
W · Sub · R1
Anthony BirchakRating 5
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Teixeira · 2020-11
L · Dec · R3
Merab DvalishviliRating 6.8
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Eye vs. Calvillo · 2020-06

Birchak · Last 5

L · KO · R2
Tony GravelyRating 2.8
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. Gastelum · 2021-04
L · Sub · R1
Gustavo LopezRating 1.5
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Teixeira · 2020-11
W · Dec · R3
Dileno LopesRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. Alvarez · 2016-07
L · KO · R1
Thomas AlmeidaRating 1.5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Belfort vs Henderson 3 · 2015-11
W · KO · R1
Joe SotoRating 5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Boetsch vs Henderson · 2015-06

News & Media

Gustavo Lopez · Anthony Birchak
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