UFC Fight Night: Sterling vs. Zalal
Las Vegas, USA
25 Apr 2026
Women's Bantamweight
VS
42%
Dumont
58%
Edwards
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Edwards
This is a genuine toss-up — Dumont at 42% vs Edwards at 58% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 17 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Striking split: Edwards throws more volume but Dumont connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Dumont
Edwards
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'7"
Height
+5'8"
67"
Reach
+70"
35
Age
+30
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Dumont
Edwards
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
45.3
62.4
48.0
Performance Avg
51.2
30
Quality of Victory
39
50
Momentum Score
100
Dumont
Edwards
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.3
2.2
56%
Strike Accuracy
54%
1.5
Striking Style Score (/10)
3.6
0 KOs
KO Finishes
2 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
11
Head
12
7
Body
20
3
Leg
5
RangeRange
19Distance37
2Clinch0
0Ground0
Dumont
Edwards
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
—
2.4
Grappling Style Score (/10)
3.1
1.7
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
2.2
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Dumont
Edwards
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
74
92
Moderate
Verdict
Never stopped
1
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
11 fights ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
12/16 fights
Chin rating based on
13/24 fights
Dumont
Edwards
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
50
100
Current form
5-fight 🔥 win streak
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
W · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R2
W · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
W · Sub · R3
Dumont
Edwards
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
0%
44%
0
KO / TKO Wins
2
0
Submission Wins
2
9
Decision Wins
5
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Dumont
Edwards
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
1.5
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.6
2.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.1
1.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.2
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
2.2
2.3
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.2
9.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.8
DumontEdwards
Strike Zones
Dumont
Attacking
21 landedAbsorbing
37 absorbedEdwards
Attacking
37 landedAbsorbing
21 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Dumont targets the head (52% of attacks) — Edwards absorbs 52% of strikes there
🎯Edwards targets the body (54% of attacks) — Dumont absorbs 54% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Dumont
RND
Edwards
0/0R00/0
Dumont · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.0WinLossTrend
Edwards · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.4WinLossTrend
Dumont · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Joselyne EdwardsRating 6.9Decision
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W · Dec · R3
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Edwards · Last 5
W · Dec · R3
Norma DumontRating 5Decision
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W · Sub · R2
Nora CornolleRating 5.9Submission
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