UFC Fight Night: Rodriguez vs. Caceres
Salt Lake City, USA
6 Aug 2016
Lightweight
VS
91%
Teymur
9%
Novelli
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 2 · 1:25
DT
David Teymur
8 – 2
5'9"73" reachSouthpaw37 yrsWell-Rounded
CFR 22
JN
Jason Novelli
"Flipside"
11 – 3
Well-Rounded2-fight slide46 yrsOrthodox6'0"
CFR 2

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Teymur

Teymur is a strong favourite at 91% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 20 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Teymur has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 37 points.

Teymur has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Teymur
Novelli
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'9"
Height
+6'0"
73"
Reach
37+
Age
46
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Teymur
Novelli
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
21.7
2.1
55.5
Performance Avg
0.0
37
Quality of Victory
0
89
Momentum Score
0
Teymur
Novelli
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.4
0.8
45%
Strike Accuracy
25%
5.7
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.0
2 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
4
Head
1
0
Body
1
2
Leg
0
RangeRange
6Distance2
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Teymur
Novelli
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
1.4
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
1.0
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.0
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Teymur
Novelli
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
88
76
Never stopped
Verdict
Moderate
0
KO/TKO Losses
1
1
Sub Losses
0
—
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
6/10 fights
Chin rating based on
2/14 fights
Teymur
Novelli
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
89
0
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Sub · R2
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
Teymur
Novelli
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
40%
0%
2
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
0
3
Decision Wins
0

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Teymur
Novelli
Striking5.7 / 0.0Volume6.5 / 0.0Grappling1.4 / 0.0Wrestling1.0 / 0.0Submission0.0 / 0.0Pressure5.3 / 0.0
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.7
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
1.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
1.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
5.3
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
6.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
Teymur
Strike Zones
Novelli
Teymur
Attacking
4HEAD0BODY2LEGS6 landed
Absorbing
1HEAD1BODY0LEGS2 absorbed
Novelli
Attacking
1HEAD1BODY0LEGS2 landed
Absorbing
4HEAD0BODY2LEGS6 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Teymur targets the head (67% of attacks) — Novelli absorbs 67% of strikes there
🎯Novelli targets the head (50% of attacks) — Teymur absorbs 50% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Teymur
RND
Novelli
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Teymur · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.9
0105.2W5.2W5.0W5.5W4.5W4.2L2016-022016-082017-032017-122018-062019-02
WinLossTrend

Novelli · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.2
0102.8L5.5L2016-082016-11
WinLossTrend

Teymur · Last 5

L · Sub · R2
Charles OliveiraRating 4.2
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Assuncao vs. Moraes 2 · 2019-02
W · Dec · R3
Nik LentzRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Rivera vs. Moraes · 2018-06
W · Dec · R3
Drakkar KloseRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 218: Holloway vs. Aldo 2 · 2017-12
W · Dec · R3
Lando VannataRating 5
Decision
UFC 209: Woodley vs. Thompson 2 · 2017-03
W · KO · R2
Jason NovelliRating 5.2
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Rodriguez vs. Caceres · 2016-08

Novelli · Last 2

L · Dec · R3
Marco Polo ReyesRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. Ferguson · 2016-11
L · KO · R2
David TeymurRating 2.8
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Rodriguez vs. Caceres · 2016-08

News & Media

David Teymur · Jason Novelli
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