UFC 321: Aspinall vs. Gane
Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates
25 Oct 2025
Lightweight
VS
38%
Haqparast
62%
Salkilld
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 2:30
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Salkilld
Salkilld holds a meaningful edge at 62% per the CFR ratings — but Haqparast has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 30 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Salkilld has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 20 points.
Salkilld has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Haqparast's chin rating of 50 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Haqparast
Salkilld
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'10"
Height
+6'0"
72"
Reach
+75"
30
Age
+26
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Haqparast
Salkilld
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
48.0
77.9
45.6
Performance Avg
71.1
32
Quality of Victory
52
72
Momentum Score
100
Haqparast
Salkilld
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
2.7
3.1
48%
Strike Accuracy
59%
3.3
Striking Style Score (/10)
8.0
2 KOs
KO Finishes
3 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
7
Head
6
2
Body
7
1
Leg
1
RangeRange
9Distance14
1Clinch0
0Ground0
Haqparast
Salkilld
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
1.9
/ 10
2.1
/ 10
1.3
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.5
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
2.0
0
Submission wins
1
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Haqparast
Salkilld
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
50
100
KO risk
Verdict
Never stopped
2
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
15/24 fights
Chin rating based on
5/13 fights
Haqparast
Salkilld
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
72
100
Current form
5-fight 🔥 win streak
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
W · KO · R1
W · Sub · R1
W · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
Haqparast
Salkilld
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
20%
80%
2
KO / TKO Wins
3
0
Submission Wins
1
8
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Haqparast
Salkilld
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.3
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
8.0
1.9
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.1
1.3
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.5
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
2.0
3.4
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
8.6
7.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.6
HaqparastSalkilld
Strike Zones
Haqparast
Attacking
10 landedAbsorbing
14 absorbedSalkilld
Attacking
14 landedAbsorbing
10 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Haqparast targets the head (70% of attacks) — Salkilld absorbs 70% of strikes there
🎯Salkilld targets the body (50% of attacks) — Haqparast absorbs 50% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Haqparast
RND
Salkilld
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Haqparast · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.9WinLossTrend
Salkilld · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.8WinLossTrend
Haqparast · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Quillan SalkilldRating 3.6KO/TKO
UFC 321: Aspinall vs. Gane · 2025-10
W · Dec · R3
Esteban RibovicsRating 5.2Decision
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W · Dec · R3
Jared GordonRating 4.9Decision
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. Aliskerov · 2024-06
W · KO · R1
Jamie MullarkeyRating 5.2KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Song vs. Gutierrez · 2023-12
W · Dec · R3
Landon QuinonesRating 4.5Decision
UFC 293: Adesanya vs. Strickland · 2023-09
Salkilld · Last 5
W · KO · R1
Beneil DariushRating 6KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Della Maddalena vs. Prates · 2026-05
W · Sub · R1
Jamie MullarkeyRating 5.2Submission
UFC 325: Volkanovski vs. Lopes 2 · 2026-01
W · KO · R1
Nasrat HaqparastRating 5.7KO/TKO
UFC 321: Aspinall vs. Gane · 2025-10
W · Dec · R3
Yanal AshmouzRating 5.4Decision
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W · KO · R1
Anshul JubliRating 6.9KO/TKO
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