METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Hill
Las Vegas, USA
20 May 2023
Women's Strawweight
VS
63%
Dern
37%
Hill
Win Probability
Decision
Round 5 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Mackenzie DernwinsDecisionR5 · 5:00
def. Angela Hill · UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Hill
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Dern
→
Actual result
Dern wins
Decision · R5
Pre-fight analysis
Dern holds a meaningful edge at 63% per the CFR ratings — but Hill has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 24 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Dern has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 11 points.
Risk flags
Hill has a chin rating of 48 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
DernHill
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Dern
Hill
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'4"+
Height
5'3"
63"
Reach
+64"
33+
Age
41
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Dern
Hill
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
60.4
36.1
52.7
Performance Avg
36.8
41
Quality of Victory
30
94
Momentum Score
40
Dern
Hill
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.4
/ 10
1.6
/ 10
5.0
Style: Pressure
2.4
6.1
Style: Volume
7.2
0 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
1 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
27
Head
1
0
Body
2
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
8Distance3
0Clinch0
19Ground0
Dern
Hill
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
4.7
/ 10
2.5
/ 10
3.3
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.7
4.2
Submission Style (/10)
0.7
5
Submission wins
1
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Dern
Hill
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
70
48
Moderate
Verdict
Never stopped
1
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
2
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
5 fights ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
17/21 fights
Chin rating based on
30/34 fights
Dern
Hill
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
94
40
4-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
W · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R5
W · Sub · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Dern
Hill
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
42%
14%
0
KO / TKO Wins
1
5
Submission Wins
1
7
Decision Wins
12
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Dern
Hill
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
1.4
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
1.6
4.7
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.5
3.3
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
4.2
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.7
5.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
2.4
6.1
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
7.2
DernHill
Strike Zones
Dern
Attacking
27 landedAbsorbing
3 absorbedHill
Attacking
3 landedAbsorbing
27 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Dern targets the head (100% of attacks) — Hill absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Hill targets the body (67% of attacks) — Dern absorbs 67% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Dern
RND
Hill
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
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