METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Hill
Las Vegas, USA
20 May 2023
Women's Strawweight
VS
62%
Dern
38%
Hill
Win Probability
Decision
Round 5 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Mackenzie DernwinsDecisionR5 · 5:00
def. Angela Hill · UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Hill
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Dern
→
Actual result
Dern wins
Decision · R5
Pre-fight analysis
Dern holds a meaningful edge at 62% per the CFR ratings — but Hill has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 23 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Hill has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Hill has a chin rating of 48 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
DernHill
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Dern
Hill
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'4"+
Height
5'3"
63"
Reach
+64"
33+
Age
41
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Dern
Hill
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
59.6
36.2
51.1
Performance Avg
36.7
39
Quality of Victory
31
94
Momentum Score
40
Dern
Hill
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.2
1.9
44%
Strike Accuracy
52%
1.4
Striking Style Score (/10)
1.7
0 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
27
Head
1
0
Body
2
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
8Distance3
0Clinch0
19Ground0
Dern
Hill
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
—
—
0.2
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
5.0
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.5
3.5
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.7
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Dern
Hill
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
70
48
Moderate
Verdict
Never stopped
1
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
2
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
4 fights ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
16/21 fights
Chin rating based on
30/34 fights
Dern
Hill
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
94
40
3-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
W · Dec · R5
W · Sub · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
Last 5
Upcoming
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Dern
Hill
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
46%
15%
0
KO / TKO Wins
1
5
Submission Wins
1
6
Decision Wins
11
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Dern
Hill
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
1.4
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
1.7
5.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.5
3.5
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
4.5
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.8
5.2
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
2.4
5.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
7.0
DernHill
Strike Zones
Dern
Attacking
27 landedAbsorbing
3 absorbedHill
Attacking
3 landedAbsorbing
27 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Dern targets the head (100% of attacks) — Hill absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Hill targets the body (67% of attacks) — Dern absorbs 67% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Dern
RND
Hill
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Dern · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.2WinLossTrend
Hill · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.4WinLossTrend
Dern · Last 5
W · Dec · R5
Virna JandirobaRating 5.2Decision
UFC 321: Aspinall vs. Gane · 2025-10
W · Sub · R3
Amanda RibasRating 5.4Submission
UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Ribas 2 · 2025-01
W · Dec · R3
Loopy GodinezRating 5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Nurmagomedov · 2024-08
L · Dec · R3
Amanda LemosRating 6.6Decision
UFC 298: Volkanovski vs. Topuria · 2024-02
L · KO · R2
Jessica AndradeRating 3.5KO/TKO
UFC 295: Prochazka vs. Pereira · 2023-11
Hill · Last 5
Upcoming
Xiong JingnanUFC Fight Night: Song vs. Figueiredo · 2026-05
L · Dec · R3
Fatima KlineRating 7.1Decision
UFC 322: Della Maddalena vs. Makhachev · 2025-11
L · Dec · R3
Iasmin LucindoRating 6.4Decision
UFC Fight Night: Dolidze vs. Hernandez · 2025-08
W · Dec · R3
Ketlen SouzaRating 4.9Decision
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Rodrigues · 2025-02
L · Dec · R3
Tabatha RicciRating 6.2Decision
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Borralho · 2024-08