UFC 183: Silva vs Diaz
Las Vegas, USA
31 Jan 2015
Lightweight
VS
41%
Lauzon
59%
Iaquinta
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 2 · 3:34
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Iaquinta
This is a genuine toss-up — Lauzon at 41% vs Iaquinta at 59% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 8 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Lauzon has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 11 points.
Iaquinta has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Lauzon's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Iaquinta has a chin rating of 48 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Lauzon
Iaquinta
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'10"
Height
5'10"
71"+
Reach
70"
42
Age
+39
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Lauzon
Iaquinta
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
17.7
25.8
51.5
Performance Avg
47.0
49
Quality of Victory
38
59
Momentum Score
51
Lauzon
Iaquinta
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.3
1.6
43%
Strike Accuracy
45%
4.4
Striking Style Score (/10)
5.6
5 KOs
KO Finishes
4 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
10
Head
31
0
Body
6
1
Leg
1
RangeRange
11Distance30
0Clinch5
0Ground3
Lauzon
Iaquinta
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.3
Sub Attempts / fight
—
4.0
Grappling Style Score (/10)
1.3
2.8
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.9
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Lauzon
Iaquinta
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
48
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
KO risk
5
KO/TKO Losses
1
1
Sub Losses
2
Avg R1.6 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
27/44 fights
Chin rating based on
15/21 fights
Lauzon
Iaquinta
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
59
51
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
W · KO · R1
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R5
L · Dec · R5
Lauzon
Iaquinta
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
80%
44%
5
KO / TKO Wins
4
7
Submission Wins
0
3
Decision Wins
5
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Lauzon
Iaquinta
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.4
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
5.6
4.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.3
2.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.9
4.7
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
7.3
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.9
2.2
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.6
LauzonIaquinta
Strike Zones
Lauzon
Attacking
11 landedAbsorbing
38 absorbedIaquinta
Attacking
38 landedAbsorbing
11 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Lauzon targets the head (91% of attacks) — Iaquinta absorbs 91% of strikes there
🎯Iaquinta targets the head (82% of attacks) — Lauzon absorbs 82% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Lauzon
RND
Iaquinta
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Lauzon · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.6WinLossTrend
Iaquinta · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.5WinLossTrend
Lauzon · Last 5
W · KO · R1
Jonathan PearceRating 5.5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Reyes vs. Weidman · 2019-10
L · KO · R2
Chris GruetzemacherRating 2.8KO/TKO
UFC 223: Khabib vs. Iaquinta · 2018-04
L · KO · R1
Clay GuidaRating 2KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Poirier vs. Pettis · 2017-11
L · Dec · R3
Stevie RayRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Swanson vs. Lobov · 2017-04
W · Dec · R3
Marcin HeldRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Rodriguez vs. Penn · 2017-01
Iaquinta · Last 5
L · KO · R1
King GreenRating 2.2KO/TKO
UFC 268: Usman vs. Covington 2 · 2021-11
L · Dec · R3
Dan HookerRating 6.4Decision
UFC 243: Whittaker vs. Adesanya · 2019-10
L · Dec · R5
Donald CerroneRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Iaquinta vs. Cowboy · 2019-05
W · Dec · R5
Kevin LeeRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Lee vs. Iaquinta · 2018-12
L · Dec · R5
Khabib NurmagomedovRating 5.5Decision
UFC 223: Khabib vs. Iaquinta · 2018-04