UFC 299: O'Malley vs. Vera 2
Miami, USA
9 Mar 2024
Heavyweight
VS
58%
Despaigne
42%
Parisian
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 0:18
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Despaigne
This is a genuine toss-up — Despaigne at 58% vs Parisian at 42% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 15 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Despaigne has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 20 points.
Striking split: Parisian throws more volume but Despaigne connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Parisian has a chin rating of 40 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Despaigne
Parisian
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'7"+
Height
6'4"
84"+
Reach
79"
37
Age
+36
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Despaigne
Parisian
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
50.8
36.1
49.3
Performance Avg
35.4
60
Quality of Victory
40
43
Momentum Score
50
Despaigne
Parisian
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.9
1.7
74%
Strike Accuracy
43%
10.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
5.6
1 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
7
Head
1
0
Body
1
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
5Distance2
0Clinch0
2Ground0
Despaigne
Parisian
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
0.0
/ 10
1.2
/ 10
0.0
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.8
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Despaigne
Parisian
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
96
40
Never stopped
Verdict
KO risk
0
KO/TKO Losses
2
0
Sub Losses
1
—
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
3/7 fights
Chin rating based on
7/23 fights
Despaigne
Parisian
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
43
50
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
Last 5
L · KO · R1
L · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
L · KO · R3
Despaigne
Parisian
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
100%
50%
1
KO / TKO Wins
1
0
Submission Wins
0
0
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Despaigne
Parisian
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
10.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
5.6
0.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.2
0.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.8
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
8.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.4
0.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.6
DespaigneParisian
Strike Zones
Despaigne
Attacking
7 landedAbsorbing
2 absorbedParisian
Attacking
2 landedAbsorbing
7 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Despaigne targets the head (100% of attacks) — Parisian absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Parisian targets the head (50% of attacks) — Despaigne absorbs 50% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Despaigne
RND
Parisian
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Despaigne · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.9WinLossTrend
Parisian · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.3WinLossTrend
Despaigne · Last 3
L · Dec · R3
Austen LaneRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Hernandez vs. Pereira · 2024-10
L · Dec · R3
Waldo Cortes AcostaRating 7Decision
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Nascimento · 2024-05
W · KO · R1
Josh ParisianRating 5.1KO/TKO
UFC 299: O'Malley vs. Vera 2 · 2024-03
Parisian · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Robelis DespaigneRating 2.3KO/TKO
UFC 299: O'Malley vs. Vera 2 · 2024-03
L · Sub · R1
Martin BudayRating 2.5Submission
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L · Dec · R3
Jamal PoguesRating 5.7Decision
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