METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Holm vs. Vieira
Las Vegas, USA
21 May 2022
Middleweight
VS
95%
Holmes
5%
Amedovski
Win Probability
Submission
Round 1 · 1:04
★ Official Result
Joseph HolmeswinsSubmissionR1 · 1:04
def. Alen Amedovski · UFC Fight Night: Holm vs. Vieira
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Holmes
→
Actual result
Holmes wins
Submission · R1
Pre-fight analysis
Holmes is a strong favourite at 95% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 33 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Holmes has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 54 points.
Risk flags
Holmes's chin rating of 64 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Amedovski has a chin rating of 42 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
HolmesAmedovski
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Holmes
Amedovski
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'4"+
Height
5'10"
80"+
Reach
74"
31+
Age
38
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Holmes
Amedovski
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
35.0
1.8
42.4
Performance Avg
0.0
54
Quality of Victory
0
29
Momentum Score
0
Holmes
Amedovski
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
0.5
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
7.8
Style: Pressure
0.0
0.5
Style: Volume
0.0
0 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
0 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
11
Head
1
2
Body
0
3
Leg
0
RangeRange
9Distance1
1Clinch0
6Ground0
Holmes
Amedovski
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
8.0
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
5.6
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.0
10.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
1
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Holmes
Amedovski
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
64
42
Moderate
Verdict
KO risk
1
KO/TKO Losses
2
1
Sub Losses
1
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
4/12 fights
Chin rating based on
4/12 fights
Holmes
Amedovski
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
29
0
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
4-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R2
L · Sub · R2
W · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R1
L · Sub · R1
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
Holmes
Amedovski
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
100%
0%
0
KO / TKO Wins
0
1
Submission Wins
0
0
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Holmes
Amedovski
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.5
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
8.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
5.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
10.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
7.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
0.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
HolmesAmedovski
Strike Zones
Holmes
Attacking
16 landedAbsorbing
1 absorbedAmedovski
Attacking
1 landedAbsorbing
16 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Holmes targets the head (69% of attacks) — Amedovski absorbs 69% of strikes there
🎯Amedovski targets the head (100% of attacks) — Holmes absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Holmes
RND
Amedovski
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Holmes · Last 4
L · KO · R2
Claudio RibeiroKO/TKO
UFC 288: Sterling vs. Cejudo · 2023-05
L · Sub · R2
JunYong ParkSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Allen · 2022-10
W · Sub · R1
Alen AmedovskiSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Holm vs. Vieira · 2022-05
L · Dec · R3
Jamie PickettDecision
UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Chikadze · 2022-01
Amedovski · Last 4
L · KO · R1
Joe PyferKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Song · 2022-09
L · Sub · R1
Joseph HolmesSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Holm vs. Vieira · 2022-05
L · KO · R1
John PhillipsKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Cannonier · 2019-09
L · Dec · R3
Krzysztof JotkoDecision
UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Oleinik · 2019-04