METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night 56: Shogun vs Saint Preux
Uberlandia, Brazil
8 Nov 2014
Welterweight
VS
68%
Alves
32%
Jouban
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Warlley AlveswinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Alan Jouban · UFC Fight Night 56: Shogun vs Saint Preux
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Alves
→
Actual result
Alves wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
Alves holds a meaningful edge at 68% per the CFR ratings — but Jouban has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 21 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Jouban has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Alves's chin rating of 14 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Jouban has a chin rating of 40 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
AlvesJouban
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Alves
Jouban
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'11"
Height
+6'0"
72"
Reach
+73"
35+
Age
44
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Alves
Jouban
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
39.1
18.1
49.3
Performance Avg
49.7
49
Quality of Victory
42
30
Momentum Score
67
Alves
Jouban
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.3
2.8
49%
Strike Accuracy
51%
3.5
Striking Style Score (/10)
6.2
2 KOs
KO Finishes
4 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
15
Head
35
3
Body
5
0
Leg
5
RangeRange
16Distance44
2Clinch1
0Ground0
Alves
Jouban
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
3.6
Grappling Style Score (/10)
1.2
2.5
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.8
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Alves
Jouban
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
14
40
KO risk
Verdict
KO risk
3
KO/TKO Losses
2
1
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.7 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
3 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
16/23 fights
Chin rating based on
13/24 fights
Alves
Jouban
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
30
67
4-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
W · KO · R1
Last 5
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
L · KO · R1
L · Sub · R2
Alves
Jouban
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
63%
50%
2
KO / TKO Wins
4
3
Submission Wins
0
3
Decision Wins
4
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Alves
Jouban
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.5
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
6.2
3.6
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.2
2.5
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.8
3.8
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
5.9
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.3
3.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.2
AlvesJouban
Strike Zones
Alves
Attacking
18 landedAbsorbing
45 absorbedJouban
Attacking
45 landedAbsorbing
18 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Alves targets the head (83% of attacks) — Jouban absorbs 83% of strikes there
🎯Jouban targets the head (78% of attacks) — Alves absorbs 78% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Alves
RND
Jouban
0/0R00/0
Alves · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.9WinLossTrend
Jouban · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.5WinLossTrend
Alves · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Abus MagomedovRating 6.3Decision
UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Murphy · 2024-05
L · KO · R1
Ikram AliskerovRating 3.2KO/TKO
UFC 294: Makhachev vs. Volkanovski 2 · 2023-10
L · Dec · R3
Nicolas DalbyRating 5.8Decision
UFC 283: Teixeira vs. Hill · 2023-01
L · KO · R2
Jeremiah WellsRating 4.1KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Gane vs. Volkov · 2021-06
W · KO · R1
Mounir LazzezRating 5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Chiesa vs. Magny · 2021-01
Jouban · Last 5
W · Dec · R3
Jared GoodenRating 5Decision
UFC 255: Figueiredo vs. Perez · 2020-11
L · Dec · R3
Dwight GrantRating 5.5Decision
UFC 236: Holloway vs. Poirier 2 · 2019-04
W · KO · R2
Ben SaundersRating 5.2KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Stephens · 2018-02
L · KO · R1
Niko PriceRating 2.2KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Pettis vs. Moreno · 2017-08
L · Sub · R2
Gunnar NelsonRating 3.8Submission
UFC Fight Night: Manuwa vs. Anderson · 2017-03