METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night 56: Shogun vs Saint Preux
Uberlandia, Brazil
8 Nov 2014
Welterweight
VS
68%
Alves
32%
Jouban
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Warlley AlveswinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Alan Jouban · UFC Fight Night 56: Shogun vs Saint Preux
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Alves
→
Actual result
Alves wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
Alves holds a meaningful edge at 68% per the CFR ratings — but Jouban has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 21 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Risk flags
Alves's chin rating of 14 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Jouban has a chin rating of 40 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
AlvesJouban
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Alves
Jouban
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'11"
Height
+6'0"
72"
Reach
+73"
35+
Age
44
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Alves
Jouban
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
39.1
18.1
49.3
Performance Avg
49.7
49
Quality of Victory
42
30
Momentum Score
67
Alves
Jouban
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
3.5
/ 10
6.2
/ 10
5.9
Style: Pressure
5.3
3.0
Style: Volume
5.2
2 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
4 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
15
Head
35
3
Body
5
0
Leg
5
RangeRange
16Distance44
2Clinch1
0Ground0
Alves
Jouban
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
3.6
/ 10
1.2
/ 10
2.5
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.8
3.8
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
3
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Alves
Jouban
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
14
40
KO risk
Verdict
KO risk
3
KO/TKO Losses
2
1
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.7 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
3 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
16/23 fights
Chin rating based on
13/24 fights
Alves
Jouban
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
30
67
4-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
W · KO · R1
Last 5
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
L · KO · R1
L · Sub · R2
Alves
Jouban
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
63%
50%
2
KO / TKO Wins
4
3
Submission Wins
0
3
Decision Wins
4
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Alves
Jouban
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.5
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
6.2
3.6
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.2
2.5
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.8
3.8
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
5.9
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.3
3.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.2
AlvesJouban
Strike Zones
Alves
Attacking
18 landedAbsorbing
45 absorbedJouban
Attacking
45 landedAbsorbing
18 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Alves targets the head (83% of attacks) — Jouban absorbs 83% of strikes there
🎯Jouban targets the head (78% of attacks) — Alves absorbs 78% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Alves
RND
Jouban
0/0R00/0
Alves · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
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