METRICS GUIDE

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All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.

UFC 66: Liddell vs Ortiz 2
Las Vegas, USA
30 Dec 2006
Welterweight
VS
51%
Alves
49%
DeSouza
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 2 · 1:10
TA
Thiago Alves
"Pitbull"
2315
5'9"70" reachOrthodox42 yrs2-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 17
TD
Tony DeSouza
114
Well-Rounded2-fight slide52 yrsSouthpaw70" reach6'0"
CFR 16
★ Official Result
Thiago AlveswinsKO/TKOR2 · 1:10
def. Tony DeSouza · UFC 66: Liddell vs Ortiz 2

Fight Report

Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result

Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Alves
Actual result
Alves wins
KO/TKO · R2
Pre-fight analysis

This is a genuine toss-up — Alves at 51% vs DeSouza at 49% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Risk flags

Alves's chin rating of 6 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

DeSouza has a chin rating of 34 — a potential KO vulnerability.

This Fight — Statistics

Actual stats from this bout
AlvesDeSouza
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
Strike Accuracy
Alves
DeSouza
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'9"
Height
+6'0"
70"
Reach
70"
42+
Age
52
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Alves
DeSouza
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
16.5
15.9
47.3
Performance Avg
46.6
42
Quality of Victory
44
63
Momentum Score
40
Alves
DeSouza
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
5.8
/ 10
1.0
/ 10
5.4
Style: Pressure
6.2
4.3
Style: Volume
3.7
7 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
0 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
4
Head
0
0
Body
0
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
1Distance0
0Clinch0
3Ground0
Alves
DeSouza
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.5
/ 10
6.1
/ 10
1.0
Wrestling Style (/10)
4.3
0.7
Submission Style (/10)
6.7
1
Submission wins
2
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Alves
DeSouza
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
6
34
KO risk
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
2
KO/TKO Losses
3
3
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
4 fights ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
Strikes absorbed / min
27/38 fights
Chin rating based on
6/15 fights
Alves
DeSouza
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
63
40
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
Last 5
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R2
W · Sub · R1
L · KO · R2
W · Sub · R1
Alves
DeSouza
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
53%
67%
7
KO / TKO Wins
0
1
Submission Wins
2
7
Decision Wins
1

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Alves
DeSouza
Striking5.8 / 1.0Volume4.3 / 3.7Grappling1.5 / 6.1Wrestling1.0 / 4.3Submission0.7 / 6.7Pressure5.4 / 6.2
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.8
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
1.0
1.5
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
6.1
1.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
4.3
0.7
Submission
Submission attack frequency
6.7
5.4
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.2
4.3
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.7
Alves
Strike Zones
DeSouza
Alves
Attacking
4HEAD0BODY0LEGS4 landed
Absorbing
0HEAD0BODY0LEGS0 absorbed
DeSouza
Attacking
0HEAD0BODY0LEGS0 landed
Absorbing
4HEAD0BODY0LEGS4 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Alves targets the head (100% of attacks) — DeSouza absorbs 100% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Alves
RND
DeSouza
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Alves · Last 5

L · Sub · R1
Tim Means
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Rozenstruik · 2019-12
L · Dec · R3
Laureano Staropoli
Decision
UFC 237: Namajunas vs. Andrade · 2019-05
W · Dec · R3
Max Griffin
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Assuncao vs. Moraes 2 · 2019-02
L · Dec · R3
Aleksei Kunchenko
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Hunt vs. Oleinik · 2018-09
L · KO · R2
Curtis Millender
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Cerrone vs. Medeiros · 2018-02

DeSouza · Last 5

L · KO · R2
Roan Carneiro
KO/TKO
UFC 79: Nemesis · 2007-12
L · KO · R2
Thiago Alves
KO/TKO
UFC 66: Liddell vs Ortiz 2 · 2006-12
W · Sub · R1
Dustin Hazelett
Submission
Ortiz vs Shamrock 3: The Final Chapter · 2006-10
L · KO · R2
Jutaro Nakao
KO/TKO
UFC 33: Victory in Vegas · 2001-09
W · Sub · R1
Paul Rodriguez
Submission
UFC 32: Showdown in the Meadowlands · 2001-06

News & Media

Thiago Alves · Tony DeSouza
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