UFC 66: Liddell vs Ortiz 2
Las Vegas, USA
30 Dec 2006
Welterweight
VS
51%
Alves
49%
DeSouza
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 2 · 1:10
TA
Thiago Alves
"Pitbull"
23 – 15
5'9"70" reachOrthodox42 yrs2-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 17
TD
Tony DeSouza
11 – 4
Well-Rounded2-fight slide51 yrsSouthpaw70" reach6'0"
CFR 16

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Alves

This is a genuine toss-up — Alves at 51% vs DeSouza at 49% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Striking split: Alves throws more volume but DeSouza connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.

Risk flags

Alves's chin rating of 6 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

DeSouza has a chin rating of 34 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Alves
DeSouza
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'9"
Height
+6'0"
70"
Reach
70"
42+
Age
51
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Alves
DeSouza
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
16.5
15.9
47.3
Performance Avg
46.6
42
Quality of Victory
44
63
Momentum Score
40
Alves
DeSouza
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.6
0.3
45%
Strike Accuracy
52%
5.8
Striking Style Score (/10)
1.0
7 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
4
Head
0
0
Body
0
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
1Distance0
0Clinch0
3Ground0
Alves
DeSouza
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
—
1.5
Grappling Style Score (/10)
6.1
1.0
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
4.3
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Alves
DeSouza
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
6
34
KO risk
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
2
KO/TKO Losses
3
3
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
4 fights ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
27/38 fights
Chin rating based on
6/15 fights
Alves
DeSouza
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
63
40
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
Last 5
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R2
W · Sub · R1
L · KO · R2
W · Sub · R1
Alves
DeSouza
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
53%
67%
7
KO / TKO Wins
0
1
Submission Wins
2
7
Decision Wins
1

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Alves
DeSouza
Striking5.8 / 1.0Volume4.3 / 3.7Grappling1.5 / 6.1Wrestling1.0 / 4.3Submission0.7 / 6.7Pressure5.4 / 6.2
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.8
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
1.0
1.5
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
6.1
1.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
4.3
0.7
Submission
Submission attack frequency
6.7
5.4
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.2
4.3
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.7
Alves
Strike Zones
DeSouza
Alves
Attacking
4HEAD0BODY0LEGS4 landed
Absorbing
0HEAD0BODY0LEGS0 absorbed
DeSouza
Attacking
0HEAD0BODY0LEGS0 landed
Absorbing
4HEAD0BODY0LEGS4 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Alves targets the head (100% of attacks) — DeSouza absorbs 100% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Alves
RND
DeSouza
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Alves · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.6
0102.8L5.0W5.0W2.8L4.5W5.2W5.2W4.2W5.2W5.2W4.5W5.5L5.5L4.5W5.5L5.0W4.0L4.5W5.2W4.4L5.9L4.5W2.8L5.5L5.1W5.5L1.6L2005-102007-112011-052017-042019-12
WinLossTrend

DeSouza · QOF Timeline

Avg: 3.8
0104.5W5.0W2.8L5.0W2.8L2.8L2001-052001-062001-092006-102006-122007-12
WinLossTrend

Alves · Last 5

L · Sub · R1
Tim MeansRating 1.6
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Rozenstruik · 2019-12
L · Dec · R3
Laureano StaropoliRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 237: Namajunas vs. Andrade · 2019-05
W · Dec · R3
Max GriffinRating 5.1
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Assuncao vs. Moraes 2 · 2019-02
L · Dec · R3
Aleksei KunchenkoRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Hunt vs. Oleinik · 2018-09
L · KO · R2
Curtis MillenderRating 2.8
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Cerrone vs. Medeiros · 2018-02

DeSouza · Last 5

L · KO · R2
Roan CarneiroRating 2.8
KO/TKO
UFC 79: Nemesis · 2007-12
L · KO · R2
Thiago AlvesRating 2.8
KO/TKO
UFC 66: Liddell vs Ortiz 2 · 2006-12
W · Sub · R1
Dustin HazelettRating 5
Submission
Ortiz vs Shamrock 3: The Final Chapter · 2006-10
L · KO · R2
Jutaro NakaoRating 2.8
KO/TKO
UFC 33: Victory in Vegas · 2001-09
W · Sub · R1
Paul RodriguezRating 5
Submission
UFC 32: Showdown in the Meadowlands · 2001-06

News & Media

Thiago Alves · Tony DeSouza
← Back to fights