UFC 308: Topuria vs. Holloway
Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates
26 Oct 2024
Featherweight
VS
57%
Murphy
43%
Ige
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Lerone
Lerone Murphy
"The Miracle"
17 – 1
5'9"73" reachOrthodox34 yrsWell-Rounded
CFR 66
Dan
Dan Ige
"100K"
19 – 11
Well-Rounded2-fight slide34 yrsOrthodox71" reach5'7"
CFR 49

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Murphy

This is a genuine toss-up — Murphy at 57% vs Ige at 43% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 17 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Striking split: Ige throws more volume but Murphy connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.

Risk flags

Ige has a chin rating of 60 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Murphy
Ige
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'9"+
Height
5'7"
73"+
Reach
71"
34
Age
34
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Murphy
Ige
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
65.5
48.8
57.7
Performance Avg
46.3
36
Quality of Victory
42
100
Momentum Score
53
Murphy
Ige
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.3
1.3
52%
Strike Accuracy
49%
5.1
Striking Style Score (/10)
5.6
3 KOs
KO Finishes
5 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
13
Head
3
2
Body
0
1
Leg
0
RangeRange
7Distance3
6Clinch0
3Ground0
Murphy
Ige
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
1.6
Grappling Style Score (/10)
1.8
1.1
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.3
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Murphy
Ige
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
98
60
Never stopped
Verdict
Moderate
0
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
0
—
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
11/18 fights
Chin rating based on
21/30 fights
Murphy
Ige
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
53
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R5
W · KO · R1
W · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R5
Last 5
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Murphy
Ige
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
33%
55%
3
KO / TKO Wins
5
0
Submission Wins
1
6
Decision Wins
5

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Murphy
Ige
Striking5.1 / 5.6Volume7.1 / 4.7Grappling1.6 / 1.8Wrestling1.1 / 1.3Submission0.0 / 0.9Pressure5.0 / 5.4
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.1
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
5.6
1.6
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.8
1.1
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.3
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.9
5.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.4
7.1
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.7
Murphy
Strike Zones
Ige
Murphy
Attacking
13HEAD2BODY1LEGS16 landed
Absorbing
3HEAD0BODY0LEGS3 absorbed
Ige
Attacking
3HEAD0BODY0LEGS3 landed
Absorbing
13HEAD2BODY1LEGS16 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Murphy targets the head (81% of attacks) — Ige absorbs 81% of strikes there
🎯Ige targets the head (100% of attacks) — Murphy absorbs 100% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Murphy
RND
Ige
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Murphy · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.2
0105.1W4.7W5.3W5.2W4.8W5.0W5.2W4.6W5.1W6.8L2020-072023-032024-102026-03
WinLossTrend

Ige · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.5
0106.2L5.0W4.5W5.0W4.5W4.5W5.0W6.0L5.0W6.0L5.6L6.8L5.5W5.2W6.5L5.7W6.8L7.0L6.6W5.5L2.7L2018-012020-052023-012025-042026-02
WinLossTrend

Murphy · Last 5

L · Dec · R5
Movsar EvloevRating 6.8
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Evloev vs. Murphy · 2026-03
W · KO · R1
Aaron PicoRating 5.1
KO/TKO
UFC 319: Du Plessis vs. Chimaev · 2025-08
W · Dec · R5
Josh EmmettRating 4.6
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Murphy · 2025-04
W · Dec · R3
Dan IgeRating 5.2
Decision
UFC 308: Topuria vs. Holloway · 2024-10
W · Dec · R5
Edson BarbozaRating 5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Murphy · 2024-05

Ige · Last 5

L · KO · R1
Melquizael CostaRating 2.7
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Hernandez · 2026-02
L · Dec · R3
Patricio PitbullRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 318: Holloway vs. Poirier 3 · 2025-07
W · KO · R3
Sean WoodsonRating 6.6
KO/TKO
UFC 314: Volkanovski vs. Lopes · 2025-04
L · Dec · R3
Lerone MurphyRating 7
Decision
UFC 308: Topuria vs. Holloway · 2024-10
L · Dec · R3
Diego LopesRating 6.8
Decision
UFC 303: Pereira vs. Prochazka 2 · 2024-06

News & Media

Lerone Murphy · Dan Ige
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