UFC Fight Night: Namajunas vs. VanZant
Las Vegas, USA
10 Dec 2015
Lightweight
VS
69%
Northcutt
31%
Pfister
Win Probability
Submission
Round 2 · 0:41
SN
Sage Northcutt
"Super"
11 – 2
6'0"71" reachOrthodox30 yrs3-fight win streakWell-Rounded
CFR 21
CP
Cody Pfister
"The Fist"
13 – 6
Well-Rounded2-fight slide35 yrsOrthodox73" reach5'10"
CFR 10

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Northcutt

Northcutt holds a meaningful edge at 69% per the CFR ratings — but Pfister has real paths to victory.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 12 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Northcutt has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 15 points.

Northcutt has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Northcutt
Pfister
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'0"+
Height
5'10"
71"
Reach
+73"
30+
Age
35
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Northcutt
Pfister
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
21.3
9.7
54.0
Performance Avg
25.0
40
Quality of Victory
25
89
Momentum Score
28
Northcutt
Pfister
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.6
0.3
59%
Strike Accuracy
29%
4.8
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.5
2 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
0
Head
1
0
Body
0
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
0Distance1
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Northcutt
Pfister
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
2.5
/ 10
2.4
/ 10
1.8
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.7
1.7
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
1
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Northcutt
Pfister
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
76
74
Never stopped
Verdict
Never stopped
0
KO/TKO Losses
0
2
Sub Losses
2
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
8/13 fights
Chin rating based on
4/19 fights
Northcutt
Pfister
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
89
28
3-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
W · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R2
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R2
W · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R2
Northcutt
Pfister
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
0%
2
KO / TKO Wins
0
1
Submission Wins
0
3
Decision Wins
1

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Northcutt
Pfister
Striking4.8 / 0.5Volume5.5 / 8.5Grappling2.5 / 2.4Wrestling1.8 / 1.7Submission1.7 / 0.0Pressure5.8 / 0.8
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.8
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.5
2.5
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
1.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
1.7
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
5.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.8
5.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
8.5
Northcutt
Strike Zones
Pfister
Northcutt
Attacking
0HEAD0BODY0LEGS0 landed
Absorbing
1HEAD0BODY0LEGS1 absorbed
Pfister
Attacking
1HEAD0BODY0LEGS1 landed
Absorbing
0HEAD0BODY0LEGS0 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Pfister targets the head (100% of attacks) — Northcutt absorbs 100% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Northcutt
RND
Pfister
0/0R00/0

Northcutt · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.4
0105.0W5.2W3.2L4.5W3.3L4.5W4.5W5.2W2015-102016-012016-122018-022018-07
WinLossTrend

Pfister · QOF Timeline

Avg: 3.9
0102.8L4.5W2.8L5.5L2015-022015-072015-122016-07
WinLossTrend

Northcutt · Last 5

W · KO · R2
Zak OttowRating 5.2
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Dos Santos vs. Ivanov · 2018-07
W · Dec · R3
Thibault GoutiRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Cerrone vs. Medeiros · 2018-02
W · Dec · R3
Michel QuinonesRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Poirier vs. Pettis · 2017-11
L · Sub · R2
Mickey GallRating 3.3
Submission
UFC on FOX: VanZant vs. Waterson · 2016-12
W · Dec · R3
Enrique MarinRating 4.5
Decision
UFC 200: Tate vs Nunes · 2016-07

Pfister · Last 4

L · Dec · R3
Scott HoltzmanRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: McDonald vs. Lineker · 2016-07
L · Sub · R2
Sage NorthcuttRating 2.8
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Namajunas vs. VanZant · 2015-12
W · Dec · R3
Yosdenis CedenoRating 4.5
Decision
UFC 189: Mendes vs McGregor · 2015-07
L · Sub · R2
James MoontasriRating 2.8
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Henderson vs Thatch · 2015-02

News & Media

Sage Northcutt · Cody Pfister
← Back to fights