METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 218: Holloway vs. Aldo 2
Detroit, USA
2 Dec 2017
Flyweight
VS
82%
Cejudo
18%
Pettis
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Henry CejudowinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Sergio Pettis · UFC 218: Holloway vs. Aldo 2
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Cejudo
→
Actual result
Cejudo wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
Cejudo is a strong favourite at 82% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 51 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Cejudo has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 31 points.
Risk flags
Cejudo's chin rating of 68 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Pettis has a chin rating of 60 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
CejudoPettis
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Cejudo
Pettis
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'4"
Height
+5'6"
64"
Reach
+69"
39
Age
+33
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Cejudo
Pettis
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
65.3
14.2
58.4
Performance Avg
40.7
56
Quality of Victory
25
97
Momentum Score
55
Cejudo
Pettis
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
5.3
/ 10
1.3
/ 10
4.7
Style: Pressure
1.9
6.0
Style: Volume
9.3
4 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
0 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
8
Head
12
1
Body
1
3
Leg
0
RangeRange
9Distance12
2Clinch1
1Ground0
Cejudo
Pettis
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.4
/ 10
2.4
/ 10
1.0
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.7
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Cejudo
Pettis
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
68
60
Moderate
Verdict
Moderate
1
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
11 fights ago
Last KO loss
9 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
16/22 fights
Chin rating based on
14/23 fights
Cejudo
Pettis
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
97
55
4-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R5
W · KO · R2
Last 5
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Cejudo
Pettis
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
40%
0%
4
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
0
6
Decision Wins
9
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Cejudo
Pettis
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.3
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
1.3
1.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
1.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
4.7
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
1.9
6.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
9.3
CejudoPettis
Strike Zones
Cejudo
Attacking
12 landedAbsorbing
13 absorbedPettis
Attacking
13 landedAbsorbing
12 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Cejudo targets the head (67% of attacks) — Pettis absorbs 67% of strikes there
🎯Pettis targets the head (92% of attacks) — Cejudo absorbs 92% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Cejudo
RND
Pettis
0/0R00/0
Cejudo · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Payton TalbottDecision
UFC 323: Dvalishvili vs. Yan 2 · 2025-12
L · Dec · R3
Song YadongDecision
UFC Fight Night: Cejudo vs. Song · 2025-02
L · Dec · R3
Merab DvalishviliDecision
UFC 298: Volkanovski vs. Topuria · 2024-02
L · Dec · R5
Aljamain SterlingDecision
UFC 288: Sterling vs. Cejudo · 2023-05
W · KO · R2
Dominick CruzKO/TKO
UFC 249: Ferguson vs. Gaethje · 2020-05
Pettis · Last 5
W · Dec · R3
Tyson NamDecision
UFC Fight Night: Rodriguez vs. Stephens · 2019-09
L · Dec · R3
Rob FontDecision
UFC Fight Night: Lee vs. Iaquinta · 2018-12
L · Dec · R3
Jussier FormigaDecision
UFC 229: Khabib vs. McGregor · 2018-10
W · Dec · R3
Joseph BenavidezDecision
UFC 225: Whittaker vs. Romero 2 · 2018-06
L · Dec · R3
Henry CejudoDecision
UFC 218: Holloway vs. Aldo 2 · 2017-12