UFC Fight Night: Maia vs. Askren
Kallang, Singapore
26 Oct 2019
Heavyweight
VS
23%
Greene
77%
Pavlovich
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 2:11
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Pavlovich
Pavlovich is a strong favourite at 77% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 42 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Pavlovich has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Greene's chin rating of 42 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Pavlovich has a chin rating of 54 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Greene
Pavlovich
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'7"+
Height
6'3"
80"
Reach
+84"
39
Age
+34
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Greene
Pavlovich
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
17.5
59.8
47.6
Performance Avg
60.6
46
Quality of Victory
53
53
Momentum Score
59
Greene
Pavlovich
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.4
2.5
45%
Strike Accuracy
47%
3.5
Striking Style Score (/10)
8.9
1 KOs
KO Finishes
6 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
1
Head
20
1
Body
0
6
Leg
0
RangeRange
8Distance7
0Clinch5
0Ground8
Greene
Pavlovich
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
4.6
/ 10
0.6
/ 10
3.2
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.4
5.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
2
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Greene
Pavlovich
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
42
54
KO risk
Verdict
KO risk
2
KO/TKO Losses
2
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.5 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
4 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
8/16 fights
Chin rating based on
12/23 fights
Greene
Pavlovich
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
53
59
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 🔥 win streak
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
W · Sub · R3
L · Sub · R2
L · KO · R1
Last 5
Upcoming
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
Greene
Pavlovich
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
75%
75%
1
KO / TKO Wins
6
2
Submission Wins
0
1
Decision Wins
2
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Greene
Pavlovich
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.5
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
8.9
4.6
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.6
3.2
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.4
5.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
6.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.4
3.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.5
GreenePavlovich
Strike Zones
Greene
Attacking
8 landedAbsorbing
20 absorbedPavlovich
Attacking
20 landedAbsorbing
8 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Greene targets the legs (75% of attacks) — Pavlovich absorbs 75% of strikes there
🎯Pavlovich targets the head (100% of attacks) — Greene absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Greene
RND
Pavlovich
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Greene · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.3WinLossTrend
Pavlovich · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.1WinLossTrend
Greene · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Marcos Rogerio de LimaRating 6.1Decision
UFC Fight Night: Rodriguez vs. Waterson · 2021-05
L · KO · R2
Greg HardyRating 2.8KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Hall vs. Silva · 2020-10
W · Sub · R3
Gian VillanteRating 5.5Submission
UFC Fight Night: Poirier vs. Hooker · 2020-06
L · Sub · R2
Aleksei OleinikRating 2.8Submission
UFC 246: McGregor vs. Cowboy · 2020-01
L · KO · R1
Sergei PavlovichRating 2.7KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Maia vs. Askren · 2019-10
Pavlovich · Last 5
Upcoming
Tallison TeixeiraUFC Fight Night: Song vs. Figueiredo · 2026-05
W · Dec · R3
Waldo Cortes AcostaRating 6Decision
UFC Fight Night: Walker vs. Zhang · 2025-08
W · Dec · R3
Jairzinho RozenstruikRating 5.6Decision
UFC Fight Night: Adesanya vs. Imavov · 2025-02
L · Dec · R3
Alexander VolkovRating 6.8Decision
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. Aliskerov · 2024-06
L · KO · R1
Tom AspinallRating 3.9KO/TKO
UFC 295: Prochazka vs. Pereira · 2023-11