METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Maia vs. Askren
Kallang, Singapore
26 Oct 2019
Heavyweight
VS
22%
Greene
78%
Pavlovich
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 2:11
★ Official Result
Sergei PavlovichwinsKO/TKOR1 · 2:11
def. Maurice Greene · UFC Fight Night: Maia vs. Askren
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Pavlovich
→
Actual result
Pavlovich wins
KO/TKO · R1
Pre-fight analysis
Pavlovich is a strong favourite at 78% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 46 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Risk flags
Greene's chin rating of 42 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Pavlovich has a chin rating of 54 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
GreenePavlovich
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Greene
Pavlovich
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'7"+
Height
6'3"
80"
Reach
+84"
40
Age
+34
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Greene
Pavlovich
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
17.5
63.5
47.6
Performance Avg
62.0
46
Quality of Victory
53
53
Momentum Score
72
Greene
Pavlovich
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
3.5
/ 10
9.3
/ 10
6.8
Style: Pressure
7.7
3.0
Style: Volume
3.3
1 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
7 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
1
Head
20
1
Body
0
6
Leg
0
RangeRange
8Distance7
0Clinch5
0Ground8
Greene
Pavlovich
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
4.6
/ 10
0.5
/ 10
3.2
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.4
5.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
2
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Greene
Pavlovich
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
42
54
KO risk
Verdict
KO risk
2
KO/TKO Losses
2
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.5 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
4 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
8/16 fights
Chin rating based on
12/23 fights
Greene
Pavlovich
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
53
72
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
3-fight 🔥 win streak
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
W · Sub · R3
L · Sub · R2
L · KO · R1
Last 5
W · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
Greene
Pavlovich
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
75%
78%
1
KO / TKO Wins
7
2
Submission Wins
0
1
Decision Wins
2
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Greene
Pavlovich
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.5
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
9.3
4.6
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.5
3.2
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.4
5.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
6.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.7
3.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.3
GreenePavlovich
Strike Zones
Greene
Attacking
8 landedAbsorbing
20 absorbedPavlovich
Attacking
20 landedAbsorbing
8 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Greene targets the legs (75% of attacks) — Pavlovich absorbs 75% of strikes there
🎯Pavlovich targets the head (100% of attacks) — Greene absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Greene
RND
Pavlovich
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Greene · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
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