Montana De La Rosa vs JJ Aldrich — UFC Fight Analysis & Result

METRICS GUIDE

Every stat on this page, explained

All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.

UFC Fight Night: Dawson vs. Green

Las Vegas, USA

7 Oct 2023

Women's Flyweight

54%

Rosa

46%

Aldrich

Win Probability

Decision

Round 3 · 5:00

Montana De La Rosa

13 – 9

5'7"68" reachOrthodox31 yrsWell-Rounded

CFR 55

JJ Aldrich

15 – 7

Well-Rounded2-fight win streak33 yrsSouthpaw67" reach5'5"

CFR 47

★ Official Result

JJ AldrichwinsDecisionR3 · 5:00

def. Montana De La Rosa · UFC Fight Night: Dawson vs. Green

Fight Report

Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result

Prediction vs Result

We predicted

Rosa

→

Actual result

Aldrich wins

Decision · R3

Pre-fight analysis

This is a genuine toss-up — Rosa at 54% vs Aldrich at 46% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 8 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Rosa has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 15 points.

Risk flags

Aldrich has a chin rating of 58 — a potential KO vulnerability.

This Fight — Statistics

Actual stats from this bout

RosaAldrich

Sig. Strikes

0.0

Strikes / min (SLpM)

0.0

—

Strike Accuracy

—

Rosa

Aldrich

Physical Matchup

Height · Reach · Age · Stance

5'7"+

Height

5'5"

68"+

Reach

67"

31+

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Southpaw

Rosa

Aldrich

Composite Fighter Rating

Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability

55.1

47.4

47.2

Performance Avg

42.5

Quality of Victory

100

Momentum Score

Rosa

Aldrich

Striking

Career averages · see This Fight stats above

2.8

/ 10

2.2

/ 10

6.3

Style: Pressure

2.6

3.8

Style: Volume

8.6

1 KO wins

Finish Rate (strikes)

1 KO wins

Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped

Strike targetStrike target

Head

Body

Leg

RangeRange

23Distance24

4Clinch2

0Ground0

Rosa

Aldrich

Grappling

Career averages · see This Fight stats above

4.8

/ 10

2.2

/ 10

3.4

Wrestling Style (/10)

1.5

5.0

Submission Style (/10)

0.0

Submission wins

Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped

Rosa

Aldrich

Durability / Chin

Resilience against knockouts and stoppages

Never stopped

Verdict

KO risk

KO/TKO Losses

Sub Losses

—

KO round context

Avg R2.0 stoppage

—

Last KO loss

13 fights ago

—

Strikes absorbed / min

—

12/22 fights

Chin rating based on

18/22 fights

Rosa

Aldrich

Form & Momentum

Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%

100

Current form

2-fight 🔥 win streak

W · Dec · R3

L · Dec · R3

L · Sub · R2

L · Dec · R3

W · KO · R2

Last 5

Upcoming

W · Dec · R3

L · Dec · R3

W · Dec · R3

Rosa

Aldrich

Finish Rate

Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission

67%

KO / TKO Wins

Submission Wins

Decision Wins

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Rosa

Aldrich

Fighter 1

Fighter 2

2.8

Striking

KO power & stand-up volume

2.2

4.8

Grappling

Ground control & clinch

2.2

3.4

Wrestling

Takedown threat & defence

1.5

5.0

Submission

Submission attack frequency

0.0

6.3

Pressure

Clinch/ground work rate

2.6

3.8

Volume

Decision-pace fighting

8.6

Rosa

Strike Zones

Aldrich

Rosa

Attacking

27 landed

Absorbing

26 absorbed

Aldrich

Attacking

26 landed

Absorbing

27 absorbed

Targeting Overlap

🎯Rosa targets the head (63% of attacks) — Aldrich absorbs 63% of strikes there

🎯Aldrich targets the head (85% of attacks) — Rosa absorbs 85% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Rosa

RND

Aldrich

0/0R00/0

Rosa · Last 5

W · Dec · R3

Andrea Lee

Decision

UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Imavov · 2024-06

L · Dec · R3

JJ Aldrich

Decision

UFC Fight Night: Dawson vs. Green · 2023-10

L · Sub · R2

Tatiana Suarez

Submission

UFC Fight Night: Muniz vs. Allen · 2023-02

L · Dec · R3

Maycee Barber

Decision

UFC Fight Night: Lemos vs. Andrade · 2022-04

W · KO · R2

Ariane da Silva

KO/TKO

UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Sakai · 2021-06

Aldrich · Last 5

Upcoming

Regina Tarin

Noche UFC: Silva vs. Delgado · 2026-09

W · Dec · R3

Jamey-Lyn Horth

Decision

UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Malott · 2026-04

W · Dec · R3

Andrea Lee

Decision

UFC Fight Night: Kape vs. Almabayev · 2025-03

L · Dec · R3

Veronica Hardy

Decision

UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Nascimento · 2024-05

W · Dec · R3

Montana De La Rosa

Decision

UFC Fight Night: Dawson vs. Green · 2023-10

News & Media

Montana De La Rosa · JJ Aldrich

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