Bruna Brasil vs Ketlen Souza — UFC Fight Analysis & Result

METRICS GUIDE

Every stat on this page, explained

All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.

UFC Fight Night: Bautista vs. Oliveira

Las Vegas, USA

7 Feb 2026

Women's Strawweight

39%

Brasil

61%

Souza

Win Probability

Decision

Round 3 · 5:00

Bruna Brasil

11 – 7

5'6"65" reachOrthodox33 yrs2-fight slideWell-Rounded

CFR 33

Ketlen Souza

"Esquentadinha"

16 – 6

Well-Rounded2-fight win streak32 yrsOrthodox63" reach5'3"

CFR 51

★ Official Result

Ketlen SouzawinsDecisionR3 · 5:00

def. Bruna Brasil · UFC Fight Night: Bautista vs. Oliveira

Fight Report

Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result

Prediction vs Result

We predicted

Souza

→

Actual result

Souza wins

Decision · R3

Pre-fight analysis

Souza holds a meaningful edge at 61% per the CFR ratings — but Brasil has real paths to victory.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 18 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Souza has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 16 points.

This Fight — Statistics

Actual stats from this bout

BrasilSouza

Sig. Strikes

0.0

Strikes / min (SLpM)

0.0

—

Strike Accuracy

—

Brasil

Souza

Physical Matchup

Height · Reach · Age · Stance

5'6"+

Height

5'3"

65"+

Reach

63"

Age

+32

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

Brasil

Souza

Composite Fighter Rating

Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability

32.6

50.9

30.0

Performance Avg

47.5

Quality of Victory

Momentum Score

Brasil

Souza

Striking

Career averages · see This Fight stats above

0.8

/ 10

3.6

/ 10

1.1

Style: Pressure

5.2

8.8

Style: Volume

5.1

0 KO wins

Finish Rate (strikes)

1 KO wins

Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped

Strike targetStrike target

Head

Body

Leg

RangeRange

10Distance9

2Clinch5

0Ground0

Brasil

Souza

Grappling

Career averages · see This Fight stats above

2.4

/ 10

3.2

/ 10

1.7

Wrestling Style (/10)

2.2

0.0

Submission Style (/10)

2.5

Submission wins

Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped

Brasil

Souza

Durability / Chin

Resilience against knockouts and stoppages

Moderate

Verdict

Never stopped

KO/TKO Losses

Sub Losses

Avg R2.0 stoppage

KO round context

—

7 fights ago

Last KO loss

—

Strikes absorbed / min

—

8/18 fights

Chin rating based on

7/22 fights

Brasil

Souza

Form & Momentum

Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%

2-fight 📉 slide

Current form

2-fight 🔥 win streak

L · Dec · R3

W · Dec · R3

L · Dec · R3

W · Dec · R3

Last 5

W · KO · R1

W · Dec · R3

L · Dec · R3

W · Sub · R1

Brasil

Souza

Finish Rate

Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission

50%

KO / TKO Wins

Submission Wins

Decision Wins

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Brasil

Souza

Fighter 1

Fighter 2

0.8

Striking

KO power & stand-up volume

3.6

2.4

Grappling

Ground control & clinch

3.2

1.7

Wrestling

Takedown threat & defence

2.2

0.0

Submission

Submission attack frequency

2.5

1.1

Pressure

Clinch/ground work rate

5.2

8.8

Volume

Decision-pace fighting

5.1

Brasil

Strike Zones

Souza

Brasil

Attacking

12 landed

Absorbing

14 absorbed

Souza

Attacking

14 landed

Absorbing

12 absorbed

Targeting Overlap

🎯Brasil targets the head (50% of attacks) — Souza absorbs 50% of strikes there

🎯Souza targets the head (50% of attacks) — Brasil absorbs 50% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Brasil

RND

Souza

0/0R00/0

Brasil · Last 5

L · Dec · R3

Alexia Thainara

Decision

UFC Fight Night: Adesanya vs. Pyfer · 2026-03

L · Dec · R3

Ketlen Souza

Decision

UFC Fight Night: Bautista vs. Oliveira · 2026-02

W · Dec · R3

Shi Ming

Decision

UFC - Road to UFC 4.6 · 2025-08

L · Dec · R3

Wang Cong

Decision

UFC 312: Du Plessis vs. Strickland 2 · 2025-02

W · Dec · R3

Molly McCann

Decision

UFC 304: Edwards vs. Muhammad 2 · 2024-07

Souza · Last 5

W · KO · R1

Ariane Carnelossi

KO/TKO

UFC Fight Night: Muhammad vs. Bonfim · 2026-06

W · Dec · R3

Bruna Brasil

Decision

UFC Fight Night: Bautista vs. Oliveira · 2026-02

L · Dec · R3

Piera Rodriguez

Decision

UFC Fight Night: Taira vs. Park · 2025-08

L · Dec · R3

Angela Hill

Decision

UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Rodrigues · 2025-02

W · Sub · R1

Yazmin Jauregui

Submission

UFC 306: Riyadh Season Noche UFC · 2024-09

News & Media

Bruna Brasil · Ketlen Souza

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