UFC on FUEL TV: Struve vs Miocic
Nottingham, United Kingdom
29 Sept 2012
Featherweight
VS
41%
Ogle
59%
Corassani
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Corassani
This is a genuine toss-up — Ogle at 41% vs Corassani at 59% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Ogle has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Ogle's chin rating of 60 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Corassani has a chin rating of 34 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Ogle
Corassani
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'8"
Height
5'8"
69"+
Reach
68"
37+
Age
43
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Ogle
Corassani
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
8.8
12.6
21.7
Performance Avg
36.0
25
Quality of Victory
27
30
Momentum Score
55
Ogle
Corassani
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.2
1.0
50%
Strike Accuracy
45%
0.3
Striking Style Score (/10)
1.0
0 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
17
Head
7
0
Body
2
2
Leg
0
RangeRange
3Distance8
0Clinch1
16Ground0
Ogle
Corassani
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
2.4
/ 10
1.6
/ 10
1.7
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.1
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Ogle
Corassani
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
60
34
Moderate
Verdict
3 consec. KOs
1
KO/TKO Losses
3
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.3 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
6/15 fights
Chin rating based on
6/18 fights
Ogle
Corassani
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
30
55
4-fight 📉 slide
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R2
W · R1
W · Dec · R3
Ogle
Corassani
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
0%
0%
0
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
0
1
Decision Wins
3
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Ogle
Corassani
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.3
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
1.0
2.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.6
1.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.1
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
0.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
1.5
8.3
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.3
OgleCorassani
Strike Zones
Ogle
Attacking
19 landedAbsorbing
9 absorbedCorassani
Attacking
9 landedAbsorbing
19 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Ogle targets the head (89% of attacks) — Corassani absorbs 89% of strikes there
🎯Corassani targets the head (78% of attacks) — Ogle absorbs 78% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Ogle
RND
Corassani
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Ogle · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.7WinLossTrend
Corassani · QOF Timeline
Avg: 3.5WinLossTrend
Ogle · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Makwan AmirkhaniRating 1.6KO/TKO
UFC on FOX: Gustafsson vs Johnson · 2015-01
L · Dec · R3
Maximo BlancoRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Munoz vs Mousasi · 2014-05
L · Sub · R3
Charles OliveiraRating 5.4Submission
UFC Fight Night: Machida vs Mousasi · 2014-02
L · Dec · R3
Cole MillerRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Machida vs Munoz · 2013-10
W · Dec · R3
Josh GrispiRating 4.5Decision
UFC on FUEL TV: Barao vs McDonald · 2013-02
Corassani · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Sam SiciliaRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC on FOX: Gustafsson vs Johnson · 2015-01
L · KO · R1
Max HollowayRating 2.6KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Nelson vs Story · 2014-10
L · KO · R2
Dustin PoirierRating 4.1KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Bisping vs Kennedy · 2014-04
W · R1
Maximo BlancoRating 4The Ultimate Fighter: Team Rousey vs. Team Tate Finale · 2013-11
W · Dec · R3
Robert PeraltaRating 4.5Decision
UFC on FUEL TV: Mousasi vs Latifi · 2013-04