UFC Fight Night: Mendes vs Lamas
Fairfax, USA
4 Apr 2015
Women's Bantamweight
VS
87%
Pena
13%
Dudieva
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 3:59
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Pena
Pena is a strong favourite at 87% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 56 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Pena has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 27 points.
Pena has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Pena's chin rating of 62 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Dudieva has a chin rating of 56 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Pena
Dudieva
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'6"+
Height
5'3"
69"
Reach
36
Age
36
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Pena
Dudieva
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
65.6
9.8
58.0
Performance Avg
28.3
52
Quality of Victory
25
100
Momentum Score
27
Pena
Dudieva
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.7
0.0
50%
Strike Accuracy
6%
3.8
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.7
2 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
32
Head
0
0
Body
0
5
Leg
0
RangeRange
0Distance0
5Clinch0
32Ground0
Pena
Dudieva
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
3.2
/ 10
2.4
/ 10
2.2
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.7
2.5
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
2
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Pena
Dudieva
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
62
56
Never stopped
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
0
KO/TKO Losses
2
3
Sub Losses
0
—
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
12/19 fights
Chin rating based on
3/17 fights
Pena
Dudieva
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
27
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Sub · R2
W · Dec · R5
L · Dec · R5
W · Sub · R2
W · Sub · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R3
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
Pena
Dudieva
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
0%
2
KO / TKO Wins
0
2
Submission Wins
0
4
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Pena
Dudieva
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.8
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.7
3.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
2.2
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
2.5
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
5.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
1.0
5.3
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
8.7
PenaDudieva
Strike Zones
Pena
Attacking
37 landedAbsorbing
0 absorbedDudieva
Attacking
0 landedAbsorbing
37 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Pena targets the head (86% of attacks) — Dudieva absorbs 86% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Pena
RND
Dudieva
0/0R00/0
Pena · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.0WinLossTrend
Dudieva · QOF Timeline
Avg: 3.8WinLossTrend
Pena · Last 5
L · Sub · R2
Kayla HarrisonRating 4.3Submission
UFC 316: Dvalishvili vs. O'Malley 2 · 2025-06
W · Dec · R5
Raquel PenningtonRating 5.1Decision
UFC 307: Pereira vs. Rountree Jr. · 2024-10
L · Dec · R5
Amanda NunesRating 6.7Decision
UFC 277: Pena vs. Nunes 2 · 2022-07
W · Sub · R2
Amanda NunesRating 6.3Submission
UFC 269: Oliveira vs. Poirier · 2021-12
W · Sub · R3
Sara McMannRating 5.5Submission
UFC 257: Poirier vs. McGregor · 2021-01
Dudieva · Last 3
L · KO · R3
Marion ReneauRating 4KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Mousasi vs. Hall 2 · 2016-11
L · KO · R1
Julianna PenaRating 3KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Mendes vs Lamas · 2015-04
W · Dec · R3
Elizabeth PhillipsRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Bisping vs Le · 2014-08