UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Murphy
Las Vegas, USA
5 Apr 2025
Women's Strawweight
VS
39%
Demopoulos
61%
Alencar
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Alencar
Alencar holds a meaningful edge at 61% per the CFR ratings — but Demopoulos has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 20 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Striking split: Alencar throws more volume but Demopoulos connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Demopoulos
Alencar
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'2"+
Height
5'1"
59"+
Reach
58"
37
Age
+35
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Demopoulos
Alencar
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
38.0
58.3
38.5
Performance Avg
50.0
31
Quality of Victory
30
30
Momentum Score
91
Demopoulos
Alencar
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.1
1.4
41%
Strike Accuracy
39%
1.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
1.6
0 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
0
Head
25
0
Body
0
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
0Distance2
0Clinch0
0Ground23
Demopoulos
Alencar
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
—
3.5
Grappling Style Score (/10)
3.8
2.5
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
2.7
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Demopoulos
Alencar
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
80
98
Never stopped
Verdict
Never stopped
0
KO/TKO Losses
0
1
Sub Losses
0
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
10/19 fights
Chin rating based on
5/9 fights
Demopoulos
Alencar
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
30
91
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
3-fight 🔥 win streak
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
W · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Demopoulos
Alencar
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
20%
25%
0
KO / TKO Wins
0
1
Submission Wins
1
4
Decision Wins
3
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Demopoulos
Alencar
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
1.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
1.6
3.5
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.8
2.5
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.7
2.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
2.5
2.9
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.2
7.4
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
7.6
DemopoulosAlencar
Strike Zones
Demopoulos
Attacking
0 landedAbsorbing
25 absorbedAlencar
Attacking
25 landedAbsorbing
0 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Alencar targets the head (100% of attacks) — Demopoulos absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Demopoulos
RND
Alencar
0/0R00/0
Demopoulos · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.1WinLossTrend
Alencar · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.5WinLossTrend
Demopoulos · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Jamey-Lyn HorthRating 6.2Decision
UFC Fight Night: Usman vs. Buckley · 2025-06
L · Dec · R3
Talita AlencarRating 6.7Decision
UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Murphy · 2025-04
L · Sub · R1
Jaqueline AmorimRating 3.3Submission
UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Brady · 2024-09
W · Dec · R3
Emily DucoteRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Murphy · 2024-05
W · Dec · R3
Kanako MurataRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Dawson vs. Green · 2023-10
Alencar · Last 5
W · Dec · R3
Julia PolastriRating 5.1Decision
UFC Fight Night: Sterling vs. Zalal · 2026-04
W · Sub · R3
Ariane CarnelossiRating 6.5Submission
UFC Fight Night: Garcia vs. Onama · 2025-11
W · Dec · R3
Vanessa DemopoulosRating 4.7Decision
UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Murphy · 2025-04
L · Dec · R3
Stephanie LucianoRating 6.9Decision
UFC Fight Night: Tybura vs. Spivac 2 · 2024-08
W · Dec · R3
Rayanne dos SantosRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Song vs. Gutierrez · 2023-12

