UFC 107: Penn vs Sanchez
Memphis, USA
12 Dec 2009
Welterweight
VS
56%
Fitch
44%
Pierce
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
JF
Jon Fitch
30 – 7
6'0"74" reachOrthodox48 yrsWell-Rounded
CFR 21
MP
Mike Pierce
17 – 7
Well-Rounded2-fight slide45 yrsOrthodox71" reach5'8"
CFR 17

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Fitch

This is a genuine toss-up — Fitch at 56% vs Pierce at 44% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Fitch has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Fitch
Pierce
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'0"+
Height
5'8"
74"+
Reach
71"
48
Age
+45
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Fitch
Pierce
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
21.0
16.5
52.4
Performance Avg
48.0
32
Quality of Victory
37
100
Momentum Score
38
Fitch
Pierce
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.3
1.1
57%
Strike Accuracy
44%
2.4
Striking Style Score (/10)
4.6
1 KOs
KO Finishes
3 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
19
Head
20
6
Body
6
1
Leg
3
RangeRange
17Distance9
9Clinch20
0Ground0
Fitch
Pierce
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
3.4
/ 10
2.2
/ 10
2.4
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.6
2.1
Submission Style (/10)
1.1
3
Submission wins
1
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Fitch
Pierce
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
74
80
Moderate
Verdict
Never stopped
1
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
2 fights ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
18/37 fights
Chin rating based on
14/24 fights
Fitch
Pierce
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
38
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
Upcoming
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
W · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
Fitch
Pierce
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
29%
44%
1
KO / TKO Wins
3
3
Submission Wins
1
10
Decision Wins
5

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Fitch
Pierce
Striking2.4 / 4.6Volume7.4 / 5.7Grappling3.4 / 2.2Wrestling2.4 / 1.6Submission2.1 / 1.1Pressure4.5 / 5.0
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.4
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.6
3.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.2
2.4
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.6
2.1
Submission
Submission attack frequency
1.1
4.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.0
7.4
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.7
Fitch
Strike Zones
Pierce
Fitch
Attacking
19HEAD6BODY1LEGS26 landed
Absorbing
20HEAD6BODY3LEGS29 absorbed
Pierce
Attacking
20HEAD6BODY3LEGS29 landed
Absorbing
19HEAD6BODY1LEGS26 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Fitch targets the head (73% of attacks) — Pierce absorbs 73% of strikes there
🎯Pierce targets the head (69% of attacks) — Fitch absorbs 69% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Fitch
RND
Pierce
0/0R00/0

Fitch · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.6
0104.5W5.2W5.2W4.5W5.2W5.2W4.5W4.5W5.5L4.5W4.5W4.5W4.5W4.5W1.5L4.5W5.5L2005-102007-062009-072012-102013-02
WinLossTrend

Pierce · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.8
0104.5W5.5L4.5W5.5W5.2W5.5L4.5W5.5L4.5W5.2W4.5W5.2W1.5L5.5L2009-092011-022012-062013-102015-12
WinLossTrend

Fitch · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Demian MaiaRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 156: Aldo vs Edgar · 2013-02
W · Dec · R3
Erick SilvaRating 4.5
Decision
UFC 153: Silva vs Bonnar · 2012-10
L · KO · R1
Johny HendricksRating 1.5
KO/TKO
UFC 141: Lesnar vs Overeem · 2011-12
Upcoming
BJ Penn
Decision
UFC 127: Penn vs Fitch · 2011-02
W · Dec · R3
Thiago AlvesRating 4.5
Decision
UFC 117: Silva vs Sonnen · 2010-08

Pierce · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Ryan LaFlareRating 5.5
Decision
The Ultimate Fighter: Team McGregor vs. Team Faber Finale · 2015-12
L · Sub · R1
Rousimar PalharesRating 1.5
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Maia vs Shields · 2013-10
W · KO · R2
David MitchellRating 5.2
KO/TKO
UFC 162: Silva vs Weidman · 2013-07
W · Dec · R3
Seth BaczynskiRating 4.5
Decision
UFC on FX: Sotiropoulos vs Pearson · 2012-12
W · KO · R2
Aaron SimpsonRating 5.2
KO/TKO
UFC on FX: Browne vs Bigfoot · 2012-10

News & Media

Jon Fitch · Mike Pierce
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