UFC 149: Faber vs Barao
Calgary, Canada
21 Jul 2012
Welterweight
VS
49%
Clements
51%
Riddle
Win Probability
CC
Chris Clements
"The Menace"
12 – 6
5'10"70" reachOrthodox50 yrsWell-Rounded
CFR 18
MR
Matthew Riddle
"Deep Waters"
8 – 3
Well-Rounded2-fight win streak40 yrsSouthpaw76" reach6'1"
CFR 18

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Riddle

This is a genuine toss-up — Clements at 49% vs Riddle at 51% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Clements has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 13 points.

Clements has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Clements
Riddle
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'10"
Height
+6'1"
70"
Reach
+76"
50
Age
+40
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Clements
Riddle
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
17.7
18.3
45.5
Performance Avg
45.6
43
Quality of Victory
29
58
Momentum Score
88
Clements
Riddle
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.5
1.1
55%
Strike Accuracy
43%
6.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
2.8
1 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
5
Head
2
7
Body
0
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
7Distance1
5Clinch1
0Ground0
Clements
Riddle
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
1.2
Grappling Style Score (/10)
1.7
0.8
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.2
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Clements
Riddle
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
76
74
Moderate
Verdict
Moderate
1
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R3.0 stoppage
2 fights ago
Last KO loss
8 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
5/18 fights
Chin rating based on
12 fights
Clements
Riddle
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
58
88
Current form
2-fight 🔥 win streak
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
L · KO · R2
Upcoming
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
Upcoming
W · Dec · R3
Upcoming
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Clements
Riddle
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
14%
1
KO / TKO Wins
1
0
Submission Wins
0
1
Decision Wins
6

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Clements
Riddle
Striking6.0 / 2.8Volume5.0 / 7.1Grappling1.2 / 1.7Wrestling0.8 / 1.2Submission0.0 / 0.0Pressure5.0 / 3.1
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
6.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
2.8
1.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.7
0.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.2
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
5.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.1
5.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
7.1
Clements
Strike Zones
Riddle
Clements
Attacking
5HEAD7BODY0LEGS12 landed
Absorbing
2HEAD0BODY0LEGS2 absorbed
Riddle
Attacking
2HEAD0BODY0LEGS2 landed
Absorbing
5HEAD7BODY0LEGS12 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Clements targets the body (58% of attacks) — Riddle absorbs 58% of strikes there
🎯Riddle targets the head (100% of attacks) — Clements absorbs 100% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Clements
RND
Riddle
0/0R00/0

Clements · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.6
0104.5W3.3L5.0W5.5L2012-042013-092014-112015-04
WinLossTrend

Riddle · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.7
0104.5W4.5W4.5W4.0L4.5W5.2W5.5L5.5L4.5W4.5W2008-062009-112010-122012-11
WinLossTrend

Clements · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Nordine TalebRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 186: Johnson vs Horiguchi · 2015-04
W · KO · R1
Vik GrujicRating 5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Rockhold vs Bisping · 2014-11
L · KO · R2
Stephen ThompsonRating 3.3
KO/TKO
UFC 165: Jones vs Gustafsson · 2013-09
Upcoming
Matthew Riddle
UFC 149: Faber vs Barao · 2012-07
W · Dec · R3
Keith WisniewskiRating 4.5
Decision
UFC 145: Jones vs Evans · 2012-04

Riddle · Last 5

Upcoming
Che Mills
UFC on FUEL TV: Barao vs McDonald · 2013-02
W · Dec · R3
John MaguireRating 4.5
Decision
UFC 154: St-Pierre vs Condit · 2012-11
Upcoming
Chris Clements
UFC 149: Faber vs Barao · 2012-07
W · Dec · R3
Henry MartinezRating 4.5
Decision
UFC 143: Diaz vs Condit · 2012-02
L · Dec · R3
Lance BenoistRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Shields vs Ellenberger · 2011-09

News & Media

Chris Clements · Matthew Riddle
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