UFC Fight Night: Yan vs. Dvalishvili
Las Vegas, USA
11 Mar 2023
Welterweight
VS
53%
Harris
47%
Gooden
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Carlston
Carlston Harris
"Mocambique"
19 – 7
6'0"76" reachOrthodox38 yrs2-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 51
Jared
Jared Gooden
"NiteTrain"
23 – 10
Pressure Fighter32 yrsOrthodox77" reach6'0"
CFR 46

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Harris

This is a genuine toss-up — Harris at 53% vs Gooden at 47% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Striking split: Harris throws more volume but Gooden connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.

Risk flags

Harris's chin rating of 34 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Harris
Gooden
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'0"
Height
6'0"
76"
Reach
+77"
38
Age
+32
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Harris
Gooden
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
50.5
45.5
50.5
Performance Avg
44.3
46
Quality of Victory
55
51
Momentum Score
33
Harris
Gooden
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.6
1.4
44%
Strike Accuracy
52%
3.6
Striking Style Score (/10)
5.6
1 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
13
Head
2
0
Body
1
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
2Distance1
0Clinch2
11Ground0
Harris
Gooden
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
4.6
/ 10
4.0
/ 10
3.2
Wrestling Style (/10)
2.8
5.0
Submission Style (/10)
5.0
2
Submission wins
1
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Harris
Gooden
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
34
90
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
Never stopped
3
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.7 stoppage
KO round context
—
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
7/26 fights
Chin rating based on
7/33 fights
Harris
Gooden
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
51
33
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · KO · R3
L · KO · R1
W · Sub · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R2
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
Harris
Gooden
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
75%
100%
1
KO / TKO Wins
1
2
Submission Wins
1
1
Decision Wins
0

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Harris
Gooden
Striking3.6 / 5.6Volume3.1 / 0.6Grappling4.6 / 4.0Wrestling3.2 / 2.8Submission5.0 / 5.0Pressure7.0 / 7.9
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.6
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
5.6
4.6
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
4.0
3.2
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.8
5.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
5.0
7.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.9
3.1
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.6
Harris
Strike Zones
Gooden
Harris
Attacking
13HEAD0BODY0LEGS13 landed
Absorbing
2HEAD1BODY0LEGS3 absorbed
Gooden
Attacking
2HEAD1BODY0LEGS3 landed
Absorbing
13HEAD0BODY0LEGS13 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Harris targets the head (100% of attacks) — Gooden absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Gooden targets the head (67% of attacks) — Harris absorbs 67% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Harris
RND
Gooden
0/0R00/0

Harris · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.7
0105.0W5.0W3.6L5.0W6.9W2.9L4.5L2021-052022-022023-082025-01
WinLossTrend

Gooden · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.8
0105.5L5.5L5.0W6.4L6.3L5.2W6.6L2020-112021-072023-032024-10
WinLossTrend

Harris · Last 5

L · KO · R3
Santiago PonzinibbioRating 4.5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Ribas 2 · 2025-01
L · KO · R1
Khaos WilliamsRating 2.9
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Murphy · 2024-05
W · Sub · R3
Jeremiah WellsRating 6.9
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Font · 2023-08
W · Dec · R3
Jared GoodenRating 5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Yan vs. Dvalishvili · 2023-03
L · KO · R1
Shavkat RakhmonovRating 3.6
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Strickland · 2022-02

Gooden · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Chidi NjokuaniRating 6.6
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Royval vs. Taira · 2024-10
W · Sub · R2
Wellington TurmanRating 5.2
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Dariush vs. Tsarukyan · 2023-12
L · Dec · R3
Carlston HarrisRating 6.3
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Yan vs. Dvalishvili · 2023-03
L · Dec · R3
Randy BrownRating 6.4
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Rodriguez · 2021-10
W · KO · R1
Niklas StolzeRating 5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Hall vs. Strickland · 2021-07

News & Media

Carlston Harris · Jared Gooden
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