METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Yan vs. Dvalishvili
Las Vegas, USA
11 Mar 2023
Welterweight
VS
53%
Harris
47%
Gooden
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Carlston HarriswinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Jared Gooden · UFC Fight Night: Yan vs. Dvalishvili
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Harris
→
Actual result
Harris wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Harris at 53% vs Gooden at 47% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Striking split: Harris throws more volume but Gooden connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Harris's chin rating of 34 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
HarrisGooden
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Harris
Gooden
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'0"
Height
6'0"
76"
Reach
+77"
39
Age
+32
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Harris
Gooden
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
50.5
45.5
50.5
Performance Avg
44.3
46
Quality of Victory
55
51
Momentum Score
33
Harris
Gooden
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.6
1.4
44%
Strike Accuracy
52%
3.6
Striking Style Score (/10)
5.6
1 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
13
Head
2
0
Body
1
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
2Distance1
0Clinch2
11Ground0
Harris
Gooden
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
4.6
/ 10
4.0
/ 10
3.2
Wrestling Style (/10)
2.8
5.0
Submission Style (/10)
5.0
2
Submission wins
1
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Harris
Gooden
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
34
90
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
Never stopped
3
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.7 stoppage
KO round context
—
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
7/26 fights
Chin rating based on
7/33 fights
Harris
Gooden
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
51
33
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · KO · R3
L · KO · R1
W · Sub · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R2
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
Harris
Gooden
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
75%
100%
1
KO / TKO Wins
1
2
Submission Wins
1
1
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Harris
Gooden
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.6
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
5.6
4.6
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
4.0
3.2
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.8
5.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
5.0
7.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.9
3.1
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.6
HarrisGooden
Strike Zones
Harris
Attacking
13 landedAbsorbing
3 absorbedGooden
Attacking
3 landedAbsorbing
13 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Harris targets the head (100% of attacks) — Gooden absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Gooden targets the head (67% of attacks) — Harris absorbs 67% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Harris
RND
Gooden
0/0R00/0
Harris · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.7WinLossTrend
Gooden · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.8WinLossTrend
Harris · Last 5
L · KO · R3
Santiago PonzinibbioRating 4.5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Ribas 2 · 2025-01
L · KO · R1
Khaos WilliamsRating 2.9KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Murphy · 2024-05
W · Sub · R3
Jeremiah WellsRating 6.9Submission
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Font · 2023-08
W · Dec · R3
Jared GoodenRating 5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Yan vs. Dvalishvili · 2023-03
L · KO · R1
Shavkat RakhmonovRating 3.6KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Strickland · 2022-02
Gooden · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Chidi NjokuaniRating 6.6Decision
UFC Fight Night: Royval vs. Taira · 2024-10
W · Sub · R2
Wellington TurmanRating 5.2Submission
UFC Fight Night: Dariush vs. Tsarukyan · 2023-12
L · Dec · R3
Carlston HarrisRating 6.3Decision
UFC Fight Night: Yan vs. Dvalishvili · 2023-03
L · Dec · R3
Randy BrownRating 6.4Decision
UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Rodriguez · 2021-10
W · KO · R1
Niklas StolzeRating 5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Hall vs. Strickland · 2021-07