UFC 186: Johnson vs Horiguchi
Montreal, Canada
25 Apr 2015
Middleweight
VS
59%
Bisping
41%
Dollaway
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
MB
Michael Bisping
"The Count"
30 – 9
6'1"75" reachOrthodox47 yrs2-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 21
CD
CB Dollaway
"The Doberman"
17 – 9
Well-Rounded42 yrsOrthodox76" reach6'2"
CFR 14

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Bisping

This is a genuine toss-up — Bisping at 59% vs Dollaway at 41% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Striking split: Bisping throws more volume but Dollaway connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.

Risk flags

Bisping's chin rating of 2 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Dollaway has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Bisping
Dollaway
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'1"
Height
+6'2"
75"
Reach
+76"
47
Age
+42
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Bisping
Dollaway
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
20.5
14.3
55.3
Performance Avg
44.3
46
Quality of Victory
37
100
Momentum Score
51
Bisping
Dollaway
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.7
0.9
44%
Strike Accuracy
49%
6.4
Striking Style Score (/10)
2.9
10 KOs
KO Finishes
2 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
21
Head
12
1
Body
3
6
Leg
0
RangeRange
22Distance15
1Clinch0
5Ground0
Bisping
Dollaway
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
0.4
1.2
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.8
0.8
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.9
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Bisping
Dollaway
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
2
0
KO risk
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
3
KO/TKO Losses
5
2
Sub Losses
2
Avg R1.7 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.6 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
29/39 fights
Chin rating based on
20/26 fights
Bisping
Dollaway
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
51
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · KO · R1
L · Sub · R3
W · Dec · R5
W · KO · R1
W · Dec · R5
Last 5
L · KO · R2
W · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
Bisping
Dollaway
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
36%
10
KO / TKO Wins
2
0
Submission Wins
2
10
Decision Wins
7

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Bisping
Dollaway
Striking6.4 / 2.9Volume5.4 / 5.5Grappling1.2 / 2.8Wrestling0.8 / 1.9Submission0.0 / 1.8Pressure5.6 / 4.2
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
6.4
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
2.9
1.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.8
0.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.9
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
1.8
5.6
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.2
5.4
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.5
Bisping
Strike Zones
Dollaway
Bisping
Attacking
21HEAD1BODY6LEGS28 landed
Absorbing
12HEAD3BODY0LEGS15 absorbed
Dollaway
Attacking
12HEAD3BODY0LEGS15 landed
Absorbing
21HEAD1BODY6LEGS28 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Bisping targets the head (75% of attacks) — Dollaway absorbs 75% of strikes there
🎯Dollaway targets the head (80% of attacks) — Bisping absorbs 80% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Bisping
RND
Dollaway
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Bisping · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.5
0105.2W5.0W5.2W4.5W5.5L5.0W5.0W4.5W2.8L5.2W5.5L4.5W4.5W5.2W5.2W5.5L4.5W2.1L4.5W5.5L5.4W2.1L4.5W4.5W4.5W5.0W4.5W2.8L1.8L2006-062009-072012-092016-022017-11
WinLossTrend

Dollaway · QOF Timeline

Avg: 3.8
0101.5L5.0W5.0W1.5L4.5W4.5W5.0W1.5L2.8L4.5W4.5W5.5L5.0W4.5W1.5L5.5L2.8L4.7W4.0W2.8L2008-062010-022013-012015-042018-09
WinLossTrend

Bisping · Last 5

L · KO · R1
Kelvin GastelumRating 1.8
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Bisping vs. Gastelum · 2017-11
L · Sub · R3
Georges St-PierreRating 2.8
Submission
UFC 217: Bisping vs. St-Pierre · 2017-11
W · Dec · R5
Dan HendersonRating 4.5
Decision
UFC 204: Bisping vs. Henderson · 2016-10
W · KO · R1
Luke RockholdRating 5
KO/TKO
UFC 199: Rockhold vs. Bisping 2 · 2016-06
W · Dec · R5
Anderson SilvaRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Silva vs Bisping · 2016-02

Dollaway · Last 5

L · KO · R2
Khalid MurtazalievRating 2.8
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Hunt vs. Oleinik · 2018-09
W · R1
Hector LombardRating 4
UFC 222: Cyborg vs. Kunitskaya · 2018-03
W · Dec · R3
Ed HermanRating 4.7
Decision
The Ultimate Fighter: Redemption Finale · 2017-07
L · KO · R2
Nate MarquardtRating 2.8
KO/TKO
UFC on FOX: Dos Anjos vs. Cowboy 2 · 2015-12
L · Dec · R3
Michael BispingRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 186: Johnson vs Horiguchi · 2015-04

News & Media

Michael Bisping · CB Dollaway
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