METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 186: Johnson vs Horiguchi
Montreal, Canada
25 Apr 2015
Middleweight
VS
59%
Bisping
41%
Dollaway
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Michael BispingwinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. CB Dollaway · UFC 186: Johnson vs Horiguchi
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Bisping
→
Actual result
Bisping wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Bisping at 59% vs Dollaway at 41% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Risk flags
Bisping's chin rating of 2 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Dollaway has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
BispingDollaway
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Bisping
Dollaway
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'1"
Height
+6'2"
75"
Reach
+76"
47
Age
+43
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Bisping
Dollaway
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
20.5
14.3
55.3
Performance Avg
44.3
46
Quality of Victory
37
100
Momentum Score
51
Bisping
Dollaway
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
6.4
/ 10
2.9
/ 10
5.6
Style: Pressure
4.2
5.4
Style: Volume
5.5
10 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
2 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
21
Head
12
1
Body
3
6
Leg
0
RangeRange
22Distance15
1Clinch0
5Ground0
Bisping
Dollaway
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.2
/ 10
2.8
/ 10
0.8
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.9
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
1.8
0
Submission wins
2
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Bisping
Dollaway
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
2
0
KO risk
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
3
KO/TKO Losses
5
2
Sub Losses
2
Avg R1.7 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.6 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
29/39 fights
Chin rating based on
20/26 fights
Bisping
Dollaway
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
51
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · KO · R1
L · Sub · R3
W · Dec · R5
W · KO · R1
W · Dec · R5
Last 5
L · KO · R2
W · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
Bisping
Dollaway
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
36%
10
KO / TKO Wins
2
0
Submission Wins
2
10
Decision Wins
7
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Bisping
Dollaway
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
6.4
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
2.9
1.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.8
0.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.9
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
1.8
5.6
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.2
5.4
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.5
BispingDollaway
Strike Zones
Bisping
Attacking
28 landedAbsorbing
15 absorbedDollaway
Attacking
15 landedAbsorbing
28 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Bisping targets the head (75% of attacks) — Dollaway absorbs 75% of strikes there
🎯Dollaway targets the head (80% of attacks) — Bisping absorbs 80% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Bisping
RND
Dollaway
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Bisping · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Kelvin GastelumKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Bisping vs. Gastelum · 2017-11
L · Sub · R3
Georges St-PierreSubmission
UFC 217: Bisping vs. St-Pierre · 2017-11
W · Dec · R5
Dan HendersonDecision
UFC 204: Bisping vs. Henderson · 2016-10
W · KO · R1
Luke RockholdKO/TKO
UFC 199: Rockhold vs. Bisping 2 · 2016-06
W · Dec · R5
Anderson SilvaDecision
UFC Fight Night: Silva vs Bisping · 2016-02
Dollaway · Last 5
L · KO · R2
Khalid MurtazalievKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Hunt vs. Oleinik · 2018-09
W · R1
Hector LombardUFC 222: Cyborg vs. Kunitskaya · 2018-03
W · Dec · R3
Ed HermanDecision
The Ultimate Fighter: Redemption Finale · 2017-07
L · KO · R2
Nate MarquardtKO/TKO
UFC on FOX: Dos Anjos vs. Cowboy 2 · 2015-12
L · Dec · R3
Michael BispingDecision
UFC 186: Johnson vs Horiguchi · 2015-04