UFC Fight Night 56: Shogun vs Saint Preux
Uberlandia, Brazil
8 Nov 2014
Welterweight
VS
3%
Silva
97%
Covington
Win Probability
Submission
Round 3 · 3:26
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Covington
Covington is a strong favourite at 97% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 59 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Covington has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 42 points.
Striking split: Covington throws more volume but Silva connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Covington has a chin rating of 60 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Silva
Covington
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'0"+
Height
5'11"
Reach
72"
39
Age
+38
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Silva
Covington
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
2.1
61.2
0.0
Performance Avg
53.2
0
Quality of Victory
42
0
Momentum Score
100
Silva
Covington
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.3
0.8
43%
Strike Accuracy
38%
0.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
3.9
0 KOs
KO Finishes
3 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
2
Head
3
0
Body
0
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
1Distance0
1Clinch0
0Ground3
Silva
Covington
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
0.0
/ 10
2.7
/ 10
0.0
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.9
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
1.7
0
Submission wins
2
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Silva
Covington
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
76
60
Never stopped
Verdict
Moderate
0
KO/TKO Losses
1
2
Sub Losses
1
—
KO round context
Avg R5.0 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
5 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
2/9 fights
Chin rating based on
17/22 fights
Silva
Covington
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
0
100
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Sub · R3
L · Sub · R2
Last 5
L · R3
L · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R5
L · Dec · R5
W · KO · R5
Silva
Covington
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
0%
42%
0
KO / TKO Wins
3
0
Submission Wins
2
0
Decision Wins
7
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Silva
Covington
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.9
0.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.7
0.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.9
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
1.7
0.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.0
0.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.1
SilvaCovington
Strike Zones
Silva
Attacking
2 landedAbsorbing
3 absorbedCovington
Attacking
3 landedAbsorbing
2 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Silva targets the head (100% of attacks) — Covington absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Covington targets the head (100% of attacks) — Silva absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Silva
RND
Covington
0/0R00/0
Silva · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.0WinLossTrend
Covington · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.1WinLossTrend
Silva · Last 2
L · Sub · R3
Colby CovingtonRating 5.3Submission
UFC Fight Night 56: Shogun vs Saint Preux · 2014-11
L · Sub · R2
Ricardo AbreuRating 2.8Submission
UFC Fight Night: Miocic vs Maldonado · 2014-05
Covington · Last 5
L · R3
Joaquin BuckleyRating 5.9UFC Fight Night: Covington vs. Buckley · 2024-12
L · Dec · R5
Leon EdwardsRating 6.6Decision
UFC 296: Edwards vs. Covington · 2023-12
W · Dec · R5
Jorge MasvidalRating 4.5Decision
UFC 272: Covington vs. Masvidal · 2022-03
L · Dec · R5
Kamaru UsmanRating 6.6Decision
UFC 268: Usman vs. Covington 2 · 2021-11
W · KO · R5
Tyron WoodleyRating 5.5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Covington vs. Woodley · 2020-09