UFC 265: Lewis vs. Gane
Houston, USA
7 Aug 2021
Women's Flyweight
VS
29%
Leonardo
71%
Gatto
Win Probability
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Gatto
Gatto is a strong favourite at 71% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 32 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Gatto has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 18 points.
Striking split: Leonardo throws more volume but Gatto connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Leonardo's chin rating of 32 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Leonardo
Gatto
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'5"
Height
5'5"
64"
Reach
+69"
36
Age
+30
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Leonardo
Gatto
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
21.3
53.2
23.0
Performance Avg
45.5
25
Quality of Victory
43
30
Momentum Score
59
Leonardo
Gatto
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.6
1.4
35%
Strike Accuracy
48%
0.4
Striking Style Score (/10)
7.7
0 KOs
KO Finishes
2 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
10
Head
35
10
Body
10
10
Leg
12
RangeRange
29Distance54
1Clinch3
0Ground0
Leonardo
Gatto
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.6
2.4
Grappling Style Score (/10)
0.0
1.7
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.0
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Leonardo
Gatto
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
32
94
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
Never stopped
3
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.3 stoppage
KO round context
—
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
5/16 fights
Chin rating based on
6/12 fights
Leonardo
Gatto
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
30
59
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · R2
L · KO · R2
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R3
Leonardo
Gatto
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
0%
67%
0
KO / TKO Wins
2
0
Submission Wins
0
1
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Leonardo
Gatto
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.4
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
7.7
2.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
1.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
0.6
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.2
8.4
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
1.0
LeonardoGatto
Strike Zones
Leonardo
Attacking
30 landedAbsorbing
57 absorbedGatto
Attacking
57 landedAbsorbing
30 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Leonardo targets the head (33% of attacks) — Gatto absorbs 33% of strikes there
🎯Gatto targets the head (61% of attacks) — Leonardo absorbs 61% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Leonardo
RND
Gatto
0/0R00/0
Leonardo · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.1WinLossTrend
Gatto · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.6WinLossTrend
Leonardo · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Wang CongRating 2.8KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Borralho · 2024-08
L · KO · R1
Natalia SilvaRating 3KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Hill · 2023-05
W · Dec · R3
Mandy BohmRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Aspinall · 2022-07
L · R2
Melissa GattoRating 5.7UFC 265: Lewis vs. Gane · 2021-08
L · KO · R2
Manon FiorotRating 4.4KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Chiesa vs. Magny · 2021-01
Gatto · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Dione BarbosaRating 6.2Decision
UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Duncan · 2026-04
W · KO · R3
Tamires VidalRating 6KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Murphy · 2024-05
L · Dec · R3
Ariane da SilvaRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Magomedov · 2023-07
L · Dec · R3
Tracy CortezRating 6.2Decision
UFC 274: Oliveira vs. Gaethje · 2022-05
W · KO · R3
Sijara EubanksRating 5.5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Daukaus · 2021-12