UFC 215: Nunes vs Shevchenko 2
Edmonton, Canada
9 Sept 2017
Lightweight
VS
48%
Johnson
52%
Martins
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 3 · 0:49
KJ
Kajan Johnson
"Ragin'"
23 – 13
5'11"75" reachOrthodox42 yrs2-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 16
AM
Adriano Martins
28 – 9
Well-Rounded2-fight slide43 yrsSouthpaw72" reach5'10"
CFR 17

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Martins

This is a genuine toss-up — Johnson at 48% vs Martins at 52% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Martins has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 17 points.

Martins has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Johnson's chin rating of 64 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Martins has a chin rating of 54 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Johnson
Martins
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'11"+
Height
5'10"
75"+
Reach
72"
42+
Age
43
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Johnson
Martins
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
16.1
17.1
41.6
Performance Avg
52.0
31
Quality of Victory
49
66
Momentum Score
30
Johnson
Martins
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.6
0.9
42%
Strike Accuracy
46%
3.6
Striking Style Score (/10)
6.1
1 KOs
KO Finishes
2 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
3
Head
0
2
Body
0
0
Leg
1
RangeRange
3Distance1
0Clinch0
2Ground0
Johnson
Martins
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
1.8
/ 10
2.6
/ 10
1.3
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.8
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
2.5
0
Submission wins
1
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Johnson
Martins
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
64
54
Moderate
Verdict
KO risk
1
KO/TKO Losses
2
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R3.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
6 fights ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
7/36 fights
Chin rating based on
7/37 fights
Johnson
Martins
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
66
30
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
Johnson
Martins
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
25%
75%
1
KO / TKO Wins
2
0
Submission Wins
1
3
Decision Wins
1

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Johnson
Martins
Striking3.6 / 6.1Volume7.1 / 3.1Grappling1.8 / 2.6Wrestling1.3 / 1.8Submission0.0 / 2.5Pressure3.5 / 7.0
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.6
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
6.1
1.8
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.6
1.3
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.8
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
2.5
3.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.0
7.1
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.1
Johnson
Strike Zones
Martins
Johnson
Attacking
3HEAD2BODY0LEGS5 landed
Absorbing
0HEAD0BODY1LEGS1 absorbed
Martins
Attacking
0HEAD0BODY1LEGS1 landed
Absorbing
3HEAD2BODY0LEGS5 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Johnson targets the head (60% of attacks) — Martins absorbs 60% of strikes there
🎯Martins targets the legs (100% of attacks) — Johnson absorbs 100% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Johnson
RND
Martins
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Johnson · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.6
0104.0L4.5W4.5W5.5W4.5W3.5L5.5L2014-062015-092018-032018-09
WinLossTrend

Martins · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.7
0105.2W1.5L5.0W4.5W7.0W5.6L4.0L2013-112014-072015-102017-09
WinLossTrend

Johnson · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Rustam KhabilovRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Hunt vs. Oleinik · 2018-09
L · Sub · R1
Islam MakhachevRating 3.5
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Alvarez vs. Poirier 2 · 2018-07
W · Dec · R3
Stevie RayRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Werdum vs. Volkov · 2018-03
W · KO · R3
Adriano MartinsRating 5.5
KO/TKO
UFC 215: Nunes vs Shevchenko 2 · 2017-09
W · Dec · R3
Naoyuki KotaniRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Barnett vs Nelson · 2015-09

Martins · Last 5

L · KO · R3
Kajan JohnsonRating 4
KO/TKO
UFC 215: Nunes vs Shevchenko 2 · 2017-09
L · Dec · R3
Leonardo SantosRating 5.6
Decision
UFC 204: Bisping vs. Henderson · 2016-10
W · KO · R1
Islam MakhachevRating 7
KO/TKO
UFC 192: Cormier vs Gustafsson · 2015-10
W · Dec · R3
Rustam KhabilovRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Bigfoot vs Mir · 2015-02
W · KO · R1
Juan Manuel PuigRating 5
KO/TKO
The Ultimate Fighter: Team Edgar vs. Team Penn Finale · 2014-07

News & Media

Kajan Johnson · Adriano Martins
← Back to fights