METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 215: Nunes vs Shevchenko 2
Edmonton, Canada
9 Sept 2017
Lightweight
VS
48%
Johnson
52%
Martins
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 3 · 0:49
★ Official Result
Kajan JohnsonwinsKO/TKOR3 · 0:49
def. Adriano Martins · UFC 215: Nunes vs Shevchenko 2
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Martins
→
Actual result
Johnson wins
KO/TKO · R3
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Johnson at 48% vs Martins at 52% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Martins has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 17 points.
Martins has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Johnson's chin rating of 64 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Martins has a chin rating of 54 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
JohnsonMartins
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Johnson
Martins
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'11"+
Height
5'10"
75"+
Reach
72"
42+
Age
43
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Johnson
Martins
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
16.1
17.1
41.6
Performance Avg
52.0
31
Quality of Victory
49
66
Momentum Score
30
Johnson
Martins
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
0.6
0.9
42%
Strike Accuracy
46%
3.6
Striking Style Score (/10)
6.1
1 KOs
KO Finishes
2 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
3
Head
0
2
Body
0
0
Leg
1
RangeRange
3Distance1
0Clinch0
2Ground0
Johnson
Martins
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.8
/ 10
2.6
/ 10
1.3
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.8
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
2.5
0
Submission wins
1
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Johnson
Martins
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
64
54
Moderate
Verdict
KO risk
1
KO/TKO Losses
2
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R3.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
6 fights ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
7/36 fights
Chin rating based on
7/37 fights
Johnson
Martins
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
66
30
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
Johnson
Martins
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
25%
75%
1
KO / TKO Wins
2
0
Submission Wins
1
3
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Johnson
Martins
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.6
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
6.1
1.8
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.6
1.3
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.8
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
2.5
3.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.0
7.1
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.1
JohnsonMartins
Strike Zones
Johnson
Attacking
5 landedAbsorbing
1 absorbedMartins
Attacking
1 landedAbsorbing
5 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Johnson targets the head (60% of attacks) — Martins absorbs 60% of strikes there
🎯Martins targets the legs (100% of attacks) — Johnson absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Johnson
RND
Martins
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Johnson · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.6WinLossTrend
Martins · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.7WinLossTrend
Johnson · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Rustam KhabilovRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Hunt vs. Oleinik · 2018-09
L · Sub · R1
Islam MakhachevRating 3.5Submission
UFC Fight Night: Alvarez vs. Poirier 2 · 2018-07
W · Dec · R3
Stevie RayRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Werdum vs. Volkov · 2018-03
W · KO · R3
Adriano MartinsRating 5.5KO/TKO
UFC 215: Nunes vs Shevchenko 2 · 2017-09
W · Dec · R3
Naoyuki KotaniRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Barnett vs Nelson · 2015-09
Martins · Last 5
L · KO · R3
Kajan JohnsonRating 4KO/TKO
UFC 215: Nunes vs Shevchenko 2 · 2017-09
L · Dec · R3
Leonardo SantosRating 5.6Decision
UFC 204: Bisping vs. Henderson · 2016-10
W · KO · R1
Islam MakhachevRating 7KO/TKO
UFC 192: Cormier vs Gustafsson · 2015-10
W · Dec · R3
Rustam KhabilovRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Bigfoot vs Mir · 2015-02
W · KO · R1
Juan Manuel PuigRating 5KO/TKO
The Ultimate Fighter: Team Edgar vs. Team Penn Finale · 2014-07