METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 215: Nunes vs Shevchenko 2
Edmonton, Canada
9 Sept 2017
Lightweight
VS
48%
Johnson
52%
Martins
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 3 · 0:49
★ Official Result
Kajan JohnsonwinsKO/TKOR3 · 0:49
def. Adriano Martins · UFC 215: Nunes vs Shevchenko 2
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Martins
→
Actual result
Johnson wins
KO/TKO · R3
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Johnson at 48% vs Martins at 52% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Martins has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 17 points.
Risk flags
Johnson's chin rating of 64 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Martins has a chin rating of 54 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
JohnsonMartins
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Johnson
Martins
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'11"+
Height
5'10"
75"+
Reach
72"
42+
Age
43
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Johnson
Martins
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
16.1
17.1
41.6
Performance Avg
52.0
31
Quality of Victory
49
66
Momentum Score
30
Johnson
Martins
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
3.6
/ 10
6.1
/ 10
3.5
Style: Pressure
7.0
7.1
Style: Volume
3.1
1 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
2 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
3
Head
0
2
Body
0
0
Leg
1
RangeRange
3Distance1
0Clinch0
2Ground0
Johnson
Martins
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.8
/ 10
2.6
/ 10
1.3
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.8
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
2.5
0
Submission wins
1
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Johnson
Martins
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
64
54
Moderate
Verdict
KO risk
1
KO/TKO Losses
2
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R3.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
6 fights ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
7/36 fights
Chin rating based on
7/37 fights
Johnson
Martins
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
66
30
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
Johnson
Martins
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
25%
75%
1
KO / TKO Wins
2
0
Submission Wins
1
3
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Johnson
Martins
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.6
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
6.1
1.8
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.6
1.3
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.8
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
2.5
3.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.0
7.1
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.1
JohnsonMartins
Strike Zones
Johnson
Attacking
5 landedAbsorbing
1 absorbedMartins
Attacking
1 landedAbsorbing
5 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Johnson targets the head (60% of attacks) — Martins absorbs 60% of strikes there
🎯Martins targets the legs (100% of attacks) — Johnson absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Johnson
RND
Martins
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Johnson · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Rustam KhabilovDecision
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L · Sub · R1
Islam MakhachevSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Alvarez vs. Poirier 2 · 2018-07
W · Dec · R3
Stevie RayDecision
UFC Fight Night: Werdum vs. Volkov · 2018-03
W · KO · R3
Adriano MartinsKO/TKO
UFC 215: Nunes vs Shevchenko 2 · 2017-09
W · Dec · R3
Naoyuki KotaniDecision
UFC Fight Night: Barnett vs Nelson · 2015-09
Martins · Last 5
L · KO · R3
Kajan JohnsonKO/TKO
UFC 215: Nunes vs Shevchenko 2 · 2017-09
L · Dec · R3
Leonardo SantosDecision
UFC 204: Bisping vs. Henderson · 2016-10
W · KO · R1
Islam MakhachevKO/TKO
UFC 192: Cormier vs Gustafsson · 2015-10
W · Dec · R3
Rustam KhabilovDecision
UFC Fight Night: Bigfoot vs Mir · 2015-02
W · KO · R1
Juan Manuel PuigKO/TKO
The Ultimate Fighter: Team Edgar vs. Team Penn Finale · 2014-07