METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Nascimento
St. Louis, USA
11 May 2024
Women's Flyweight
VS
53%
Aldrich
47%
Hardy
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Veronica HardywinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. JJ Aldrich · UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Nascimento
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Aldrich
→
Actual result
Hardy wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Aldrich at 53% vs Hardy at 47% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Risk flags
Aldrich's chin rating of 58 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Hardy has a chin rating of 60 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
AldrichHardy
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Aldrich
Hardy
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'5"+
Height
5'4"
67"+
Reach
64"
33
Age
+30
Southpaw
Stance
Southpaw
Aldrich
Hardy
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
47.4
41.4
42.5
Performance Avg
38.5
28
Quality of Victory
31
80
Momentum Score
55
Aldrich
Hardy
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.2
/ 10
1.0
/ 10
2.6
Style: Pressure
2.9
8.6
Style: Volume
7.4
1 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
0 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
6
Head
2
4
Body
1
0
Leg
4
RangeRange
6Distance7
0Clinch0
4Ground0
Aldrich
Hardy
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.2
/ 10
3.5
/ 10
1.5
Wrestling Style (/10)
2.5
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
2.0
0
Submission wins
1
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Aldrich
Hardy
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
58
60
KO risk
Verdict
Moderate
1
KO/TKO Losses
1
1
Sub Losses
1
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R3.0 stoppage
13 fights ago
Last KO loss
9 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
18/22 fights
Chin rating based on
10/15 fights
Aldrich
Hardy
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
80
55
2-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
Upcoming
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Aldrich
Hardy
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
9%
20%
1
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
1
10
Decision Wins
4
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Aldrich
Hardy
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.2
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
1.0
2.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.5
1.5
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.5
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
2.0
2.6
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
2.9
8.6
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
7.4
AldrichHardy
Strike Zones
Aldrich
Attacking
10 landedAbsorbing
7 absorbedHardy
Attacking
7 landedAbsorbing
10 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Aldrich targets the head (60% of attacks) — Hardy absorbs 60% of strikes there
🎯Hardy targets the legs (57% of attacks) — Aldrich absorbs 57% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Aldrich
RND
Hardy
0/0R00/0
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