METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 254: Khabib vs. Gaethje
Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates
24 Oct 2020
Heavyweight
VS
76%
Volkov
24%
Harris
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 2 · 1:15
★ Official Result
Alexander VolkovwinsKO/TKOR2 · 1:15
def. Walt Harris · UFC 254: Khabib vs. Gaethje
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Volkov
→
Actual result
Volkov wins
KO/TKO · R2
Pre-fight analysis
Volkov is a strong favourite at 76% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 41 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Harris has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 16 points.
Risk flags
Volkov's chin rating of 60 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Harris has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
VolkovHarris
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Volkov
Harris
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'7"+
Height
6'5"
80"+
Reach
77"
37+
Age
43
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Volkov
Harris
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
60.2
18.9
54.7
Performance Avg
51.0
42
Quality of Victory
58
88
Momentum Score
65
Volkov
Harris
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
5.8
/ 10
10.0
/ 10
5.7
Style: Pressure
8.2
5.5
Style: Volume
0.8
6 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
6 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
5
Head
1
1
Body
0
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
6Distance1
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Volkov
Harris
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.8
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
1.2
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.0
0.7
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
1
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Volkov
Harris
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
60
0
Moderate
Verdict
3 consec. KOs
1
KO/TKO Losses
5
1
Sub Losses
1
Avg R3.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.6 stoppage
15 fights ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
20/51 fights
Chin rating based on
16/23 fights
Volkov
Harris
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
88
65
2-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
Upcoming
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R2
W · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
Volkov
Harris
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
100%
6
KO / TKO Wins
6
1
Submission Wins
0
7
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Volkov
Harris
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.8
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
10.0
1.8
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
1.2
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
0.7
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
5.7
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
8.2
5.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.8
VolkovHarris
Strike Zones
Volkov
Attacking
6 landedAbsorbing
1 absorbedHarris
Attacking
1 landedAbsorbing
6 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Volkov targets the head (83% of attacks) — Harris absorbs 83% of strikes there
🎯Harris targets the head (100% of attacks) — Volkov absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Volkov
RND
Harris
0/0R00/0
Volkov · Last 5
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L · KO · R1
Marcin TyburaKO/TKO
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L · KO · R2
Alexander VolkovKO/TKO
UFC 254: Khabib vs. Gaethje · 2020-10
L · KO · R2
Alistair OvereemKO/TKO
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W · KO · R1
Aleksei OleinikKO/TKO
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W · KO · R1
Serghei SpivacKO/TKO
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