UFC 156: Aldo vs Edgar
Las Vegas, USA
2 Feb 2013
Lightweight
VS
25%
Volkmann
75%
Green
Win Probability
Submission
Round 3 · 4:25
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Green
Green is a strong favourite at 75% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 33 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Green has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Volkmann's chin rating of 62 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Green has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Volkmann
Green
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'9"
Height
+5'10"
71"
Reach
71"
45
Age
+39
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Volkmann
Green
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
16.1
49.0
41.9
Performance Avg
45.9
30
Quality of Victory
38
70
Momentum Score
85
Volkmann
Green
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.5
3.2
37%
Strike Accuracy
55%
1.2
Striking Style Score (/10)
3.6
0 KOs
KO Finishes
4 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
1
Head
22
1
Body
8
0
Leg
1
RangeRange
2Distance9
0Clinch4
0Ground18
Volkmann
Green
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
3.3
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.9
2.3
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
2.0
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Volkmann
Green
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
62
0
Never stopped
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
0
KO/TKO Losses
5
3
Sub Losses
1
—
KO round context
Avg R1.2 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
3 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
10/26 fights
Chin rating based on
30/52 fights
Volkmann
Green
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
70
85
Current form
3-fight 🔥 win streak
L · Sub · R3
W · Sub · R1
L · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
W · Sub · R1
W · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
L · Sub · R1
Volkmann
Green
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
17%
44%
0
KO / TKO Wins
4
1
Submission Wins
3
5
Decision Wins
9
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Volkmann
Green
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
1.2
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.6
3.3
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.9
2.3
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.0
1.7
Submission
Submission attack frequency
1.9
3.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.8
7.9
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.6
VolkmannGreen
Strike Zones
Volkmann
Attacking
2 landedAbsorbing
31 absorbedGreen
Attacking
31 landedAbsorbing
2 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Volkmann targets the head (50% of attacks) — Green absorbs 50% of strikes there
🎯Green targets the head (71% of attacks) — Volkmann absorbs 71% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Volkmann
RND
Green
0/0R00/0
Volkmann · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.1WinLossTrend
Green · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.9WinLossTrend
Volkmann · Last 5
L · Sub · R3
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