METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 156: Aldo vs Edgar
Las Vegas, USA
2 Feb 2013
Lightweight
VS
25%
Volkmann
75%
Green
Win Probability
Submission
Round 3 · 4:25
★ Official Result
King GreenwinsSubmissionR3 · 4:25
def. Jacob Volkmann · UFC 156: Aldo vs Edgar
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Green
→
Actual result
Green wins
Submission · R3
Pre-fight analysis
Green is a strong favourite at 75% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 33 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Green has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Volkmann's chin rating of 62 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Green has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
VolkmannGreen
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Volkmann
Green
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'9"
Height
+5'10"
71"
Reach
71"
45
Age
+39
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Volkmann
Green
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
16.1
49.0
41.9
Performance Avg
45.9
30
Quality of Victory
38
70
Momentum Score
85
Volkmann
Green
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
0.5
3.2
37%
Strike Accuracy
55%
1.2
Striking Style Score (/10)
3.6
0 KOs
KO Finishes
4 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
1
Head
22
1
Body
8
0
Leg
1
RangeRange
2Distance9
0Clinch4
0Ground18
Volkmann
Green
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
3.3
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.9
2.3
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
2.0
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Volkmann
Green
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
62
0
Never stopped
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
0
KO/TKO Losses
5
3
Sub Losses
1
—
KO round context
Avg R1.2 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
3 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
10/26 fights
Chin rating based on
30/52 fights
Volkmann
Green
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
70
85
Current form
3-fight 🔥 win streak
L · Sub · R3
W · Sub · R1
L · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
W · Sub · R1
W · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
L · Sub · R1
Volkmann
Green
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
17%
44%
0
KO / TKO Wins
4
1
Submission Wins
3
5
Decision Wins
9
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Volkmann
Green
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
1.2
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.6
3.3
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.9
2.3
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.0
1.7
Submission
Submission attack frequency
1.9
3.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.8
7.9
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.6
VolkmannGreen
Strike Zones
Volkmann
Attacking
2 landedAbsorbing
31 absorbedGreen
Attacking
31 landedAbsorbing
2 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Volkmann targets the head (50% of attacks) — Green absorbs 50% of strikes there
🎯Green targets the head (71% of attacks) — Volkmann absorbs 71% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Volkmann
RND
Green
0/0R00/0
Volkmann · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.1WinLossTrend
Green · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.9WinLossTrend
Volkmann · Last 5
L · Sub · R3
King GreenRating 4.7Submission
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