METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 156: Aldo vs Edgar
Las Vegas, USA
2 Feb 2013
Lightweight
VS
24%
Volkmann
76%
Green
Win Probability
Submission
Round 3 · 4:25
★ Official Result
King GreenwinsSubmissionR3 · 4:25
def. Jacob Volkmann · UFC 156: Aldo vs Edgar
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Green
→
Actual result
Green wins
Submission · R3
Pre-fight analysis
Green is a strong favourite at 76% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 34 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Risk flags
Volkmann's chin rating of 62 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Green has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
VolkmannGreen
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Volkmann
Green
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'9"
Height
+5'10"
71"
Reach
71"
46
Age
+40
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Volkmann
Green
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
16.1
50.1
41.9
Performance Avg
47.2
30
Quality of Victory
40
70
Momentum Score
85
Volkmann
Green
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.2
/ 10
4.1
/ 10
3.0
Style: Pressure
5.0
7.9
Style: Volume
5.4
0 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
5 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
1
Head
22
1
Body
8
0
Leg
1
RangeRange
2Distance9
0Clinch4
0Ground18
Volkmann
Green
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
3.3
/ 10
2.7
/ 10
2.3
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.9
1.7
Submission Style (/10)
1.8
1
Submission wins
3
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Volkmann
Green
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
62
0
Never stopped
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
0
KO/TKO Losses
5
3
Sub Losses
1
—
KO round context
Avg R1.2 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
5 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
10/26 fights
Chin rating based on
32/52 fights
Volkmann
Green
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
70
85
Current form
4-fight 🔥 win streak
L · Sub · R3
W · Sub · R1
L · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
Upcoming
W · KO · R1
W · Sub · R1
W · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
Volkmann
Green
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
17%
47%
0
KO / TKO Wins
5
1
Submission Wins
3
5
Decision Wins
9
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Volkmann
Green
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
1.2
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.1
3.3
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.7
2.3
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.9
1.7
Submission
Submission attack frequency
1.8
3.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.0
7.9
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.4
VolkmannGreen
Strike Zones
Volkmann
Attacking
2 landedAbsorbing
31 absorbedGreen
Attacking
31 landedAbsorbing
2 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Volkmann targets the head (50% of attacks) — Green absorbs 50% of strikes there
🎯Green targets the head (71% of attacks) — Volkmann absorbs 71% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Volkmann
RND
Green
0/0R00/0
Volkmann · Last 5
L · Sub · R3
King GreenSubmission
UFC 156: Aldo vs Edgar · 2013-02
W · Sub · R1
Shane RollerSubmission
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L · Sub · R1
Paul SassSubmission
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W · Dec · R3
Efrain EscuderoDecision
UFC 141: Lesnar vs Overeem · 2011-12
W · Dec · R3
Danny CastilloDecision
UFC Live: Hardy vs Lytle · 2011-08
Green · Last 5
Upcoming
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W · KO · R1
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