UFC on FX: Maynard vs Guida
Atlantic City, USA
22 Jun 2012
Featherweight
VS
87%
Siler
13%
Gambino
Win Probability
Submission
Round 1 · 2:47
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Siler
Siler is a strong favourite at 87% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 13 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Siler has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 38 points.
Striking split: Gambino throws more volume but Siler connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Siler
Gambino
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'11"+
Height
5'7"
70"
Reach
39
Age
+37
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Siler
Gambino
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
15.5
2.4
44.9
Performance Avg
0.0
38
Quality of Victory
0
36
Momentum Score
0
Siler
Gambino
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.2
1.4
39%
Strike Accuracy
38%
3.1
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.0
1 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
9
Head
2
3
Body
1
0
Leg
2
RangeRange
2Distance4
6Clinch1
4Ground0
Siler
Gambino
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
3.0
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
2.1
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.0
2.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
1
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Siler
Gambino
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
72
86
Moderate
Verdict
Never stopped
1
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
9/45 fights
Chin rating based on
2/11 fights
Siler
Gambino
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
36
0
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
Siler
Gambino
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
40%
0%
1
KO / TKO Wins
0
1
Submission Wins
0
3
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Siler
Gambino
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.1
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
3.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
2.1
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
2.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
4.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
5.9
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
SilerGambino
Strike Zones
Siler
Attacking
12 landedAbsorbing
5 absorbedGambino
Attacking
5 landedAbsorbing
12 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Siler targets the head (75% of attacks) — Gambino absorbs 75% of strikes there
🎯Gambino targets the head (40% of attacks) — Siler absorbs 40% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Siler
RND
Gambino
0/0R00/0
Siler · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.7WinLossTrend
Gambino · QOF Timeline
Avg: 3.5WinLossTrend
Siler · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Noad LahatRating 5.5Decision
UFC on FOX: Lawler vs Brown · 2014-07
L · KO · R1
Rony JasonRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Shogun vs Henderson 2 · 2014-03
L · Dec · R3
Dennis BermudezRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Fight for the Troops 3 · 2013-11
W · KO · R1
Mike BrownRating 5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Shogun vs Sonnen · 2013-08
W · Dec · R3
Kurt HolobaughRating 4.5Decision
UFC 159: Jones vs Sonnen · 2013-04
Gambino · Last 2
L · Dec · R3
Diego BrandaoRating 5.5Decision
UFC 153: Silva vs Bonnar · 2012-10
L · Sub · R1
Steven SilerRating 1.5Submission
UFC on FX: Maynard vs Guida · 2012-06