UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs. Till
Liverpool, United Kingdom
27 May 2018
Welterweight
VS
60%
Thompson
40%
Till
Win Probability
Decision
Round 5 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Thompson
Thompson holds a meaningful edge at 60% per the CFR ratings — but Till has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 16 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Striking split: Thompson throws more volume but Till connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Thompson's chin rating of 32 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Till has a chin rating of 40 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Thompson
Till
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'0"
Height
6'0"
75"+
Reach
74"
43
Age
+33
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Thompson
Till
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
46.3
30.5
48.9
Performance Avg
44.3
43
Quality of Victory
38
45
Momentum Score
35
Thompson
Till
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.7
0.9
47%
Strike Accuracy
49%
6.1
Striking Style Score (/10)
4.4
6 KOs
KO Finishes
2 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
1
Head
5
1
Body
2
1
Leg
2
RangeRange
3Distance8
0Clinch1
0Ground0
Thompson
Till
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
1.2
/ 10
1.6
/ 10
0.8
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.1
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Thompson
Till
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
32
40
KO risk
Verdict
KO risk
2
KO/TKO Losses
1
1
Sub Losses
3
Avg R2.5 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
4 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
22/26 fights
Chin rating based on
12/23 fights
Thompson
Till
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
45
35
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R3
L · Sub · R2
W · KO · R4
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Sub · R3
L · Sub · R3
L · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
Thompson
Till
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
33%
6
KO / TKO Wins
2
0
Submission Wins
0
6
Decision Wins
4
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Thompson
Till
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
6.1
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.4
1.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.6
0.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.1
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
5.2
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.0
5.1
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.4
ThompsonTill
Strike Zones
Thompson
Attacking
3 landedAbsorbing
9 absorbedTill
Attacking
9 landedAbsorbing
3 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Thompson targets the head (33% of attacks) — Till absorbs 33% of strikes there
🎯Till targets the head (56% of attacks) — Thompson absorbs 56% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Thompson
RND
Till
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Thompson · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.2WinLossTrend
Till · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.4WinLossTrend
Thompson · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Gabriel BonfimRating 7.2Decision
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Teixeira · 2025-07
L · KO · R3
Joaquin BuckleyRating 5.2KO/TKO
UFC 307: Pereira vs. Rountree Jr. · 2024-10
L · Sub · R2
Shavkat RakhmonovRating 4.8Submission
UFC 296: Edwards vs. Covington · 2023-12
W · KO · R4
Kevin HollandRating 6KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs. Holland · 2022-12
L · Dec · R3
Belal MuhammadRating 6.6Decision
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Daukaus · 2021-12
Till · Last 5
L · Sub · R3
Dricus Du PlessisRating 5.9Submission
UFC 282: Blachowicz vs. Ankalaev · 2022-12
L · Sub · R3
Derek BrunsonRating 3Submission
UFC Fight Night: Brunson vs. Till · 2021-09
L · Dec · R5
Robert WhittakerRating 6.4Decision
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. Till · 2020-07
W · Dec · R3
Kelvin GastelumRating 4.8Decision
UFC 244: Masvidal vs. Diaz · 2019-11
L · KO · R2
Jorge MasvidalRating 2.1KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Till vs. Masvidal · 2019-03
