UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Magomedov
Las Vegas, USA
1 Jul 2023
Lightweight
VS
38%
Bonfim
62%
Denis
Win Probability
Submission
Round 1 · 4:48
CFR 71
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Denis
Denis holds a meaningful edge at 62% per the CFR ratings — but Bonfim has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 28 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Denis has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 14 points.
Striking split: Bonfim throws more volume but Denis connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Bonfim's chin rating of 64 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Bonfim
Denis
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'8"
Height
+5'11"
71"
Reach
+73"
30
Age
30
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Bonfim
Denis
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
42.8
70.9
40.0
Performance Avg
62.5
40
Quality of Victory
54
41
Momentum Score
91
Bonfim
Denis
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
3.6
2.7
56%
Strike Accuracy
60%
5.8
Striking Style Score (/10)
7.1
1 KOs
KO Finishes
5 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
9
Head
3
2
Body
10
3
Leg
0
RangeRange
8Distance11
5Clinch2
1Ground0
Bonfim
Denis
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
1.2
Grappling Style Score (/10)
3.6
0.8
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
2.5
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Bonfim
Denis
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
64
74
Moderate
Verdict
Moderate
1
KO/TKO Losses
1
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
6 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
5/26 fights
Chin rating based on
13/20 fights
Bonfim
Denis
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
41
91
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
4-fight 🔥 win streak
L · KO · R2
L · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
W · KO · R2
Last 5
Upcoming
W · KO · R2
W · KO · R1
W · Sub · R2
W · Sub · R2
Bonfim
Denis
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
100%
1
KO / TKO Wins
5
0
Submission Wins
4
1
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Bonfim
Denis
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.8
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
7.1
1.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.6
0.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.5
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
4.4
4.7
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
9.3
4.8
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
1.5
BonfimDenis
Strike Zones
Bonfim
Attacking
14 landedAbsorbing
13 absorbedDenis
Attacking
13 landedAbsorbing
14 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Bonfim targets the head (64% of attacks) — Denis absorbs 64% of strikes there
🎯Denis targets the body (77% of attacks) — Bonfim absorbs 77% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Bonfim
RND
Denis
0/0R00/0
Bonfim · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.0WinLossTrend
Denis · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.5WinLossTrend
Bonfim · Last 5
L · KO · R2
Chris PadillaRating 4.5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Bonfim vs. Brown · 2025-11
L · R1
Nazim SadykhovRating 5.5UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Rodrigues · 2025-02
W · Dec · R3
Vinc PichelRating 4.7Decision
UFC 301: Pantoja vs. Erceg · 2024-05
L · Sub · R1
Benoit Saint DenisRating 3.3Submission
UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Magomedov · 2023-07
W · KO · R2
Terrance McKinneyRating 6.8KO/TKO
UFC 283: Teixeira vs. Hill · 2023-01
Denis · Last 5
Upcoming
Paddy PimblettUFC 329: McGregor vs. Holloway 2 · 2026-07
W · KO · R2
Dan HookerRating 6.1KO/TKO
UFC 325: Volkanovski vs. Lopes 2 · 2026-01
W · KO · R1
Beneil DariushRating 6KO/TKO
UFC 322: Della Maddalena vs. Makhachev · 2025-11
W · Sub · R2
Mauricio RuffyRating 6.9Submission
UFC Fight Night: Imavov vs. Borralho · 2025-09
W · Sub · R2
Kyle PrepolecRating 5.2Submission
UFC 315: Muhammad vs. Della Maddalena · 2025-05