METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs. Neal
Las Vegas, USA
19 Dec 2020
Heavyweight
VS
57%
Tybura
43%
Hardy
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 2 · 4:31
★ Official Result
Marcin TyburawinsKO/TKOR2 · 4:31
def. Greg Hardy · UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs. Neal
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Tybura
→
Actual result
Tybura wins
KO/TKO · R2
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Tybura at 57% vs Hardy at 43% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 9 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Hardy has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 14 points.
Risk flags
Tybura's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Hardy has a chin rating of 30 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
TyburaHardy
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Tybura
Hardy
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'3"
Height
+6'5"
78"
Reach
+80"
40
Age
+38
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Tybura
Hardy
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
39.0
29.7
44.3
Performance Avg
47.8
37
Quality of Victory
50
43
Momentum Score
76
Tybura
Hardy
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
4.0
/ 10
8.4
/ 10
4.2
Style: Pressure
6.6
5.7
Style: Volume
2.9
4 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
3 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
26
Head
6
5
Body
5
4
Leg
1
RangeRange
17Distance11
0Clinch1
18Ground0
Tybura
Hardy
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.9
/ 10
0.6
/ 10
1.4
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.4
0.7
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
1
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Tybura
Hardy
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
30
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
3 consec. KOs
5
KO/TKO Losses
3
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.6 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.3 stoppage
2 fights ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
25/38 fights
Chin rating based on
10/12 fights
Tybura
Hardy
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
43
76
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · R2
Last 5
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R2
W · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
Tybura
Hardy
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
36%
75%
4
KO / TKO Wins
3
1
Submission Wins
0
9
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Tybura
Hardy
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
8.4
1.9
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.6
1.4
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.4
0.7
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
4.2
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.6
5.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
2.9
TyburaHardy
Strike Zones
Tybura
Attacking
35 landedAbsorbing
12 absorbedHardy
Attacking
12 landedAbsorbing
35 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Tybura targets the head (74% of attacks) — Hardy absorbs 74% of strikes there
🎯Hardy targets the head (50% of attacks) — Tybura absorbs 50% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Tybura
RND
Hardy
0/0R00/0
Tybura · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Aleksandar RakicDecision
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L · Dec · R3
Tyrell FortuneDecision
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L · KO · R1
Ante DelijaKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Imavov vs. Borralho · 2025-09
W · Dec · R3
Mick ParkinDecision
UFC Fight Night: Edwards vs. Brady · 2025-03
W · R2
Jhonata DinizUFC 309: Jones vs. Miocic · 2024-11
Hardy · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Serghei SpivacKO/TKO
UFC 272: Covington vs. Masvidal · 2022-03
L · KO · R1
Tai TuivasaKO/TKO
UFC 264: Poirier vs. McGregor 3 · 2021-07
L · KO · R2
Marcin TyburaKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs. Neal · 2020-12
W · KO · R2
Maurice GreeneKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Hall vs. Silva · 2020-10
W · Dec · R3
Yorgan De CastroDecision
UFC 249: Ferguson vs. Gaethje · 2020-05