UFC 285: Jones vs. Gane
Las Vegas, USA
4 Mar 2023
Bantamweight
VS
46%
Blackshear
54%
Basharat
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Basharat
This is a genuine toss-up — Blackshear at 46% vs Basharat at 54% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 9 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Blackshear has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 18 points.
Blackshear has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Blackshear
Basharat
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'10"+
Height
5'8"
72"+
Reach
71"
31
Age
+28
Switch
Stance
Orthodox
Blackshear
Basharat
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
55.1
64.0
50.7
Performance Avg
57.9
48
Quality of Victory
30
56
Momentum Score
100
Blackshear
Basharat
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
2.1
0.9
45%
Strike Accuracy
45%
3.1
Striking Style Score (/10)
2.0
1 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
15
Head
15
6
Body
4
1
Leg
1
RangeRange
16Distance12
6Clinch3
0Ground5
Blackshear
Basharat
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.5
Sub Attempts / fight
—
5.3
Grappling Style Score (/10)
3.3
3.7
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
2.3
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Blackshear
Basharat
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
72
100
Moderate
Verdict
Never stopped
1
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
4 fights ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
10/25 fights
Chin rating based on
7/15 fights
Blackshear
Basharat
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
56
100
Current form
6-fight 🔥 win streak
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R2
W · Sub · R1
L · KO · R1
Last 5
Upcoming
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Blackshear
Basharat
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
80%
17%
1
KO / TKO Wins
0
3
Submission Wins
1
1
Decision Wins
5
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Blackshear
Basharat
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.1
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
2.0
5.3
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.3
3.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.3
6.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
1.7
7.3
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.2
2.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
8.7
BlackshearBasharat
Strike Zones
Blackshear
Attacking
22 landedAbsorbing
20 absorbedBasharat
Attacking
20 landedAbsorbing
22 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Blackshear targets the head (68% of attacks) — Basharat absorbs 68% of strikes there
🎯Basharat targets the head (75% of attacks) — Blackshear absorbs 75% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Blackshear
RND
Basharat
0/0R00/0
Blackshear · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.5WinLossTrend
Basharat · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.2WinLossTrend
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