UFC 248: Adesanya vs. Romero
Las Vegas, USA
7 Mar 2020
Bantamweight
VS
83%
O'Malley
17%
Quinonez
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 2:02
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: O'Malley
O'Malley is a strong favourite at 83% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 52 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
O'Malley has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 16 points.
O'Malley has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
O'Malley's chin rating of 64 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Quinonez has a chin rating of 42 — a potential KO vulnerability.
O'Malley
Quinonez
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'11"+
Height
5'8"
72"+
Reach
69"
31+
Age
35
Switch
Stance
Southpaw
O'Malley
Quinonez
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
65.3
13.2
59.5
Performance Avg
40.7
47
Quality of Victory
31
95
Momentum Score
38
O'Malley
Quinonez
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
2.3
1.2
62%
Strike Accuracy
50%
7.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
1.1
6 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
9
Head
0
6
Body
0
3
Leg
0
RangeRange
13Distance0
0Clinch0
5Ground0
O'Malley
Quinonez
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.2
1.1
Grappling Style Score (/10)
3.5
0.8
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
2.5
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
O'Malley
Quinonez
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
64
42
Moderate
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
1
KO/TKO Losses
2
1
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.5 stoppage
11 fights ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
16/22 fights
Chin rating based on
9/14 fights
O'Malley
Quinonez
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
95
38
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
Upcoming
W · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R3
L · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R5
Last 5
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R2
W · Dec · R3
O'Malley
Quinonez
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
55%
20%
6
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
1
5
Decision Wins
4
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
O'Malley
Quinonez
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
7.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
1.1
1.1
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.5
0.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.5
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
2.0
6.2
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.1
5.2
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
7.5
O'MalleyQuinonez
Strike Zones
O'Malley
Attacking
18 landedAbsorbing
0 absorbedQuinonez
Attacking
0 landedAbsorbing
18 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯O'Malley targets the head (50% of attacks) — Quinonez absorbs 50% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
O'Malley
RND
Quinonez
0/0R00/0
O'Malley · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.1WinLossTrend
Quinonez · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.2WinLossTrend
O'Malley · Last 5
Upcoming
Aiemann ZahabiUFC Freedom 250 · 2026-06
W · Dec · R3
Song YadongRating 5.8Decision
UFC 324: Gaethje vs. Pimblett · 2026-01
L · Sub · R3
Merab DvalishviliRating 4Submission
UFC 316: Dvalishvili vs. O'Malley 2 · 2025-06
L · Dec · R5
Merab DvalishviliRating 6.8Decision
UFC 306: Riyadh Season Noche UFC · 2024-09
W · Dec · R5
Marlon VeraRating 5.3Decision
UFC 299: O'Malley vs. Vera 2 · 2024-03
Quinonez · Last 5
L · KO · R2
Louis SmolkaRating 2.8KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Vettori · 2020-12
L · KO · R1
Sean O'MalleyRating 3KO/TKO
UFC 248: Adesanya vs. Romero · 2020-03
W · Dec · R3
Carlos HuachinRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Rodriguez vs. Stephens · 2019-09
L · Sub · R2
Nathaniel WoodRating 3.5Submission
UFC Fight Night: Till vs. Masvidal · 2019-03
W · Dec · R3
Teruto IshiharaRating 4.5Decision
UFC 221: Romero vs. Rockhold · 2018-02